Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 210543

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1143 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Issued at 310 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017

Elevated fire weather concerns continue over the lower Missouri
Valley this afternoon as strong southwest winds with gusts to 45
mph prevail over the area. So far we haven`t heard of any fire
starts, and latest GOES-16 satellite products (Fire Temp RGB and
3.9 shortwave IR channel) have verified this trend. In any event,
south winds have allowed for modest warm air advection with many
locations now reporting temperatures well into the lower 60s
across the lower Missouri Vly. Winds should begin to weaken by
early evening, however elevated fire danger will continue this
afternoon and outdoor burning is highly discouraged. Overnight
lows early Tuesday morning will only drop into the lower 40s as
warm air advection continues through much of the overnight hours.

Another cold front will pass across the region early Tuesday
morning with cold air advection expected for much of the day on
Tuesday. This will lead to noticeably cooler temps with high
struggling to reach the 50 degree mark Tuesday afternoon. Winds
will once again be gusty which may lead to another afternoon of
minor fire danger, however cooler temps should keep concerns in

Beyond tomorrow, the forecast looks nothing but pleasant as we
head towards Thanksgiving as upper ridging across the western
U.S. begins to breakdown and slide east with time. This should
set the stage for an above normal temperatures on Thursday with
highs reaching the middle 50s for most. Even warmer air is
expected by Friday with upper 60s possible by Friday afternoon
following the passage of a warm front late Thursday night/early
Friday. These temps will be short lived however as a cold front
will then drop through the area Friday night which should yield
cooler and more seasonable air for the upcoming weekend.


.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1143 PM CST MON NOV 20 2017

VFR conditions and sustained southwest winds between 10-15 kts
will continue through the early morning hours, then winds will
veer to the northwest following a cold-frontal passage shortly
after 12z. Scattered to broken cloud cover is expected behind
the  front, but with bases around or slightly above 10 kft.




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