Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 210505

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1205 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2016

Issued at 302 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

Cold air advection in the wake of last night`s cold front has kept
temperatures quite cool today with afternoon temperatures in the
lower 70s and even upper 60s in spots. CAA has also kept a broken
stratocumulus deck in place which should scatter out as the sun
begins to go down. Clearing skies and light winds will allow
temperatures to fall to the lowest readings we`ve seen in a couple of
months with lows tonight in the lower and middle 50s. This could
approach the record low of 53 at Kansas City, although St. Joseph`s
record of 45 looks safe.

Large-scale ridging building into the central U.S. on Sunday will
keep skies clear and temperatures pleasant with highs in the upper
70s/lower 80s. Weak warm air advection on the back side of this
feature will nudge temperatures upward a few degrees Monday and
Tuesday. Precipitation chances will increase late Tuesday afternoon
when an increasing low-level jet will begin to bring moisture back
into the area, although this precipitation will have to initially
overcome rather dry air in place. Precipitation chances will
continue into Wednesday and Wednesday night when a cold front will
eventually swing through the region. Continued moisture advection
ahead of the front will bring precipitable water values to as high as
2 inches so some locally heavy rain is a possibility. Ridging behind
the front will bring a return to early fall-like temperatures and dry
weather for the rest of next week.


.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2016

VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours at the Kansas-Missouri
terminals. Only issue might be a bit of fog with the light wind
early Sunday morning, though it is thought that at this time that the
dewpoint depression is sufficient to keep the fog at bay outside of
the KSTJ terminal. Otherwise, expect light and variable winds
through the day as a surface high settles across the region.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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