Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 202309
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
509 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CST TUE JAN 20 2015

Quiet conditions will continue over the next several days as dry
surface high pressure builds into the region. A deepening,
positively tilted trough will slide southward down the High Plains
through midweek, transitioning currently zonal flow aloft to north
northwest. Cooler Canadian air will accompany the more northerly
flow and will resulting in decreasing surface temperatures, but
light winds, a lack of snow cover, and sunshine should prevent
temperatures from falling even to their seasonal normals. Cooler
conditions and light winds should also end our period of enhanced
fire danger, despite dry fuels and the continued lack of anticipated
precipitation.

As the upper trough swings eastward and departs late this week,
highs are expected to recover into the upper 40s to low 50s for
the weekend. Long-range models continue to bring a clipper system
through the forecast area by Saturday night or Sunday, but
precipitation type is still in question as temperature profiles
continue to fluctuate. In any case, moisture availability with this
system will be low, and very little impact is anticipated.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 509 PM CST TUE JAN 20 2015

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Otherwise, not
much expected. Nocturnal jet will be present, but not quite strong
enough to warrant low level wind shear in tonight`s TAFs. Surface
winds will remain generally from the west overnight and through
Wednesday morning, veering to the northwest by the afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Laflin
AVIATION...Cutter





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