Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 290955
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
355 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

THE CLOSED LOW THAT WILL CONTINUE BRINGING WIDESPREAD VALLEY RAIN
AND HIGH MT SNOW TO THE AREA WILL RIDE ALONG THE CO AND NEW MEXICO
BORDER TODAY. ITS 500 MB CENTER SHOULD BE OVER SE CO BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND REACH THE WESTERN PLAINS STATES BY THIS EVENING.
WHILE THIS OCCURS THE BAND OF BEST UPLIFT WILL MOVE FROM CENTRAL
CO TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER...PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO
LESSEN...BECOMING DOMINATED BY FLOW WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW WITH
SOME NORTHWESTERLY OROGRAPHICS THROWN IN. THIS WILL PUT THE FOCUS
OF PRECIP EAST OF A LINE FROM ABOUT HAYDEN TO EAGLE TO PAGOSA
SPRINGS TONIGHT.

THE NEXT LOW WILL COME OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH NEVADA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE CAUGHT IN THE COL BETWEEN THE
TWO LOWS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

AS THE FIRST LOW MOVES SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE GREAT PLAINS...THE
SECOND LOW DIGS TO SOUTHERN CA AND STRENGTHENS. BECAUSE OF THE
STRONG BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE U.S. THIS LOW TURNS BRIEFLY EAST
AND MOVES INTO AZ SAT...THEN IS FORCED NORTH INTO UT SUNDAY. THE
FORECAST AREA WILL BE UNDER MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE EAST OF
THE LOW CENTER SAT NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...SO EXPECT A WET WEEKEND.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY THE SECOND LOW BREAKS UP AND MOISTURE ERODES
TO THE EAST. A STRONG RIDGE TAKES OVER TUE NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
BRINGING WELCOME DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 335 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

MOUNTAINS WILL BE FREQUENTLY OBSCD THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THOUGH ALL
TERMINALS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY VFR...SHOWERS WILL OCCASIONALLY
BRING CEILING BELOW ILS BREADPOINTS FOR THE CO AIRPORTS. KTEX...
KASE AND KEGE WILL SEE OCCASION MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS AND BRIEF IFR
CONDITIONS UNDER STRONGER SHOWERS.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ004-
     009-010-012-013-017>019.

UT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR UTZ023-
     028.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CC
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...CC



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