Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 250526
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1126 PM MDT FRI JUN 24 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 818 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

Red flag warnings have been allowed to expire at 8pm. Relative
humidities are recovering as temperatures are dropping. Gusty
winds will continue as a weak front passes through northwestern
Colorado tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 107 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

Upper level trough will continue to track across the northern
Rockies today. An associated cold front will enter the far northwest
portion of the CWA late this afternoon or early afternoon and slowly
push south finally stalling over central part of the forecast
area overnight. Northeast UT and northwest CO will see a slight
decrease in temperatures with the southern counties remaining hot
and even increasing a few degrees. Gradient relaxes as the upper
trough slides east Saturday expect less wind. Dryer airmass also
moves over the area.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 107 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

The north remains cooler and south warmer as the previously
mentioned cold front slowly fades away Sunday.

Ridge builds back into the region early next week warming
temperatures. Enough moisture remains over the San Juan Mtns to keep
isolated showers and thunderstorms each afternoon. By mid week
moisture filters northward under the ridge and provides more
opportunity for showers and thunderstorms especially over the
southern mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1126 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

Weak front is slowly moving west to east across Northwest
Colorado. KEGE should see some gusty winds toward 12z from outflow
winds with the front. Otherwise, pretty quiet at TAF sites across
the region. Diurnally induced upslope/downslope winds will prevail
after the frontal passage as high pressure and drier air returns.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 107 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

A cold front will move into the area from the northwest this
evening and southwest winds ahead of the front will increase.
This will combine with low afternoon humidities and critically dry
fuels to produce Red Flag conditions over northwest and west-
central Colorado and east- central Utah, which includes Colorado
fire zones 200, 202 and 203 and Utah fire zone 490, from 2 PM to 8
PM. Saturday...winds will decrease somewhat and humidities will
rise due to less hot conditions. So critical fire weather
conditions are not expected.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 107 PM MDT Fri Jun 24 2016

Releases from area dams and management of water diversions will
likely add to flow in some rivers and streams. As a result,
waterways across the area will continue to run high, fast, and
cold through the coming weekend. Stay advised of the latest river
forecasts by visiting our website at weather.gov/gjt.

&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...None.
UT...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JAM
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...JAM
FIRE WEATHER...CC/AS
HYDROLOGY...AS



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