Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 240846
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
246 AM MDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 236 AM MDT Sun Jul 24 2016

A weak wave is currently moving over the Utah and Colorado border allowing
some lightning strikes and light showers to form. Outside of this
wave, a few showers formed along the Continental Divide but precip
amounts remained low.

Water vapor imagery shows plenty of drying over the Great Basin and
the models continue to pick up on this drying pattern with
forecast PWATs continuing to lower. Swamp cooler users should
rejoice as they will slowly become more efficient. Despite
atmospheric moisture decreasing somewhat, we can still expect
showers and thunderstorms to form this afternoon as heating will
work on the remaining moisture. Higher elevations look favored at
the moment with the Roan Tavaputs and Book Cliffs along with the
San Juans being favored. Some gusty winds along with occasional
heavy rainers can be expected from the stronger cells. Expect
similar conditions Monday though coverage will continue to
decrease. Temperatures will remain on the warm side both today and
tomorrow with some valleys reaching triple digits this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM MDT Sat Jul 23 2016

The dry trend will continue through the workweek as a ridge of
high pressure keeps the main plume of moisture to our south. With
isolated-scattered late-day showers and thunderstorms confined to
the higher terrain and across the south. High temperatures will
will run 5-10 degrees above normal through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 236 AM MDT Sun Jul 24 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through the next 24
hours. Isolated thunderstorms are possible, mainly across eastern
Utah and the bookcliffs north of I-70 but should not impact TAF
sites aside from brief gusty winds to 25 mph at times. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are expected to redevelop by 18z today,
mainly over higher terrain, with gusty outflow winds to 25 mph and
brief moderate to heavy rain with stronger storms.


&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...None.
UT...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TGR
LONG TERM...MPM
AVIATION...TGJT


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