Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 282341
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
641 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.UPDATE...00Z AVIATION UPDATE BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING. STRATUS RE-
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN 08Z-12Z...RESULTING IN
MVFR CEILINGS AROUND 1000-1500 FEET. SOME PATCHY MVFR VISIBILITIES
IN BR MAY ALSO OCCUR EAST OF I-35 BRIEFLY AROUND SUNRISE. VFR
CONDITIONS DEVELOP AROUND 15Z AS STRATUS SCATTERS OUT. SE WINDS
10-15 KTS THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 KTS EARLY WED
MORNING ALONG AND EAST OF I-35...INCLUDING SAT/AUS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...
UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE SHORT RANGE WITH
BASICALLY A PERSISTENCE FORECAST OF ALL WEATHER ELEMENTS. DOES
NOT LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE AS MUCH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS LAST
NIGHT SO DO NOT EXPECT STRATUS TO BE AS WIDESPREAD OR PERSISTENT
BUT STILL EXPECT SOME LOW CLDS TO FORM LATE. HEAT INDEX VALUES
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE 105-109 RANGE ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL
ISSUE AN UPDATED SPS TO HIGHLIGHT.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
STILL A BIT OF A PATTERN CHANGE IN STORE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND. H5 RIDGE SHIFTS OVER THE ROCKIES ALLOWING SOME
DEEPER MSTR TO BUILD WEST ACRS THE AREA. DEEPEST MSTR AND THUS
HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES OVER EASTERN SECTIONS TAPERING TO THE WEST.
WILL HOLD POPS AT 30 PCT OR LOWER. MORE CLOUDINESS AND SCT PCPN
WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPS A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN PAST DAYS. THE
PATTERN CHG LOOKS SHORT LIVED HWVR AS RIDGING BUILDS BACK IN ERLY
NEXT WEEK WITH MORE HOT AND DRY WEATHER IN STORE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              77 100  77  99  78 /   0   0   0  -   20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  73  98  75  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     77 100  77  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            75  98  76  99  78 /   0   0   0  -   20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           78 102  78 101  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        75  98  77  99  78 /   0   0   0  -   20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             76  98  76  98  76 /   0   0   0   0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        76  99  77  98  77 /   0   0   0  -   20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   78  98  78  99  78 /   0   0   0  10  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       78  99  77  99  78 /   0   0   0  -   10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           78  99  77  99  77 /   0   0   0  -   10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...RUNYEN
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30


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