Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 231733

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1030 AM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected today as an upper low moves across the region. Locally
heavy rainfall and hail will accompany some of the storms. Storm
coverage will then slowly decrease for the remainder of the week.


.DISCUSSION...An upper low near Flagstaff late this morning will
continue to move east today. Areas of light and moderate rain
overnight affected Yavapai County and portions of the Mogollon Rim
southeast of Flagstaff. Many areas still remain under cloud cover
with a rain cooled boundary layer. This will not help convection
today, but the added forcing from the upper low and unseasonably
cool temperatures aloft will partially overcome this.

Forecast is in good shape, no updates at this time.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Expect scattered showers and
thunderstorms to move across the area today as an upper level low
moves over the region. lower cloud ceilings with brief intrusions
into MVFR conditions are possible with the stronger storms. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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