Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 072230

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
330 PM MST Wed Dec 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front moving through the area today will bring
cooler temperatures and variable cloudiness. Some light
precipitation or drizzle is possible through the morning.
Otherwise, expect dry weather for the next several days.
Temperatures will warm Thursday into Friday and remain above
average through early next week.


Quiet weather is expected to continue through the bulk of the
forecast with no significant preciptation expected at this time.
This quiet weather is due to the zonal flow that will continue
over the area as the low pressure systems moving onshore from the
Pacific remain well north of the area. Some breezy conditions will
develop, with the winds generally increasing through the daytime
hours and decreasing again as convective mixing shuts off near
sunset.There is some potential for some precipitation towards the
ends of the forecast period as a weak shortwave trough is forecast
by some of the model suites to possibly impact the area.Confidence
in this scenario coming to fruition remains low, due to lack of
model consensus and extreme distance into the future.

Temperatures are expected to climb through the rest of the week,
with high climbing back to seasonal values by this weekend before
a brief drop of a few degrees as the next system passes far to the


.AVIATION...For the 00Z forecast...Expect VFR conditions over the
next 24 hours. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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