Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 310228
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
928 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The widely scattered storms from earlier this afternoon did dim-
inish rather quickly early this evening...and not seeing much of
anything on the radar at this time. Current grids appear to have
things covered so not planning on any changes with this update.
41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED / 344 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

A few showers and a thunderstorm or two have been developing
south of I-10 over the last couple of hours or so. Warming in the
mid levels and lower PWs are likely behind the overall lack of
activity today compared to the last several days. Although the mid
level warming will remain in place tomorrow, slightly higher PWs
are forecast (1.7-1.9) which may allow for a slight increase in
coverage tomorrow afternoon. By Monday, ridging sets up across the
Northern Gulf/SE Texas and stifles precipitation chances until
Thursday when the ridge begins to shift northward. Friday heading
into next weekend a surface low pressure system may track through
the Bay of Campeche and into Mexico, bringing with it a surge of
deep layer moisture. If this comes to fruition, the surge of
moisture will cause an increase in shower and thunderstorm
coverage next weekend. Have left the PoPs at 30 for now, but these
may increase as confidence grows.

High temperatures will slowly creep upward through midweek next
week, ranging from the upper 80s along the coast to the upper 90s
across portions of the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods regions by
Wednesday. Although still quite warm, temps will moderate a teeny
bit with the increase in showers and thunderstorms Thursday heading
into next weekend. Heat indices are forecast to generally range
from the upper 90s to the mid 100s each afternoon. 11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      77  96  76  97  76 /  10  10  10  10  10
Houston (IAH)              78  94  78  96  77 /  10  30  10  10  10
Galveston (GLS)            82  90  82  90  82 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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