National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KLUB 120530
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013

.AVIATION...
THERE STILL EXISTS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE AT LOW VISBYS AT KCDS EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING UNDER LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW BUT CHANCES ARE TOO
LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAF. OVERCAST SKIES WILL LOWER BY LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES
TOWARD THE AREA. THIS MAY ALSO CREATE SPRINKLES OR VERY LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CST WED DEC 11 2013/

SHORT TERM...
UPPER LOW ALONG NORTHERN BAJA COAST IS EXPECTED TO EJECT AND OPEN
AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES LATE THURSDAY AND THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY FRIDAY. STILL...IT APPEARS THERE MAY BE
ADEQUATE MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT TO GENERATE SHOWER AREAS
MOSTLY ALOFT...LOWER LEVELS WILL HAVE A LOT OF DRYNESS TO
OVERCOME. WE ADDED A LOW MENTION OF RAIN SHOWERS FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS COUNTIES BEFORE THIS
DISTURBANCE STEERS BETTER SHOWER CHANCES OFF TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY. SOUNDING PROFILES APPEAR TO SUPPORT ALL LIQUID AS
DISCUSSED EARLIER. TONIGHT SHOULD BE QUITE CHILLY THOUGH TEMPERED
JUST A BIT WITH HIGH CLOUD SHIELD AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT OVER
MAINLY SOUTHERN ZONES. THURSDAY WILL SEE AT LEAST SOME WARMING
THOUGH STILL NOT NOT MUCH OF A BEACH DAY. RMCQUEEN

LONG TERM...
WARMER FRIDAY WITH THOSE DOWNSLOPE BREEZES BEFORE THE NEXT COLD
FRONT DASHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING. LATEST
TRENDS HAVE SLIGHTLY DEEPENED THE TROUGH OVER THE AREA AT THAT
TIME ALONG WITH SPILLING A BIT COLDER LOW LEVEL AIR INTO THE AREA.
STILL...OUR GOING FORECAST SEEMED TO BE ON TRACK SO NO CHANGES.
GRADUAL WARMING WILL RETURN BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE YET
ANOTHER TEMPORARY DIP WITH A FRONT TUESDAY. BACK TO WARMING AND
STILL DRY BEYOND THAT. FEW CHANGES IN LONG TERM. RMCQUEEN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        16  49  30  57  20 /   0  20  10   0  10
TULIA         18  49  31  57  21 /   0  10  10   0  10
PLAINVIEW     19  48  31  57  21 /   0  10  20   0  10
LEVELLAND     18  47  30  58  23 /   0  20  20   0  10
LUBBOCK       19  47  31  59  23 /   0  20  20  10  10
DENVER CITY   20  45  30  58  27 /   0  20  20   0  10
BROWNFIELD    20  45  30  58  26 /   0  20  20   0  10
CHILDRESS     19  43  33  58  24 /   0   0  20  10  10
SPUR          20  43  32  56  26 /   0  10  20  10  10
ASPERMONT     20  45  34  58  28 /   0  10  20  10  10

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

01/99/99