Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 222325
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
525 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

After clouds cleared off the Plateau this morning, everybody has
gone under full sunshine this afternoon.  Problem is, with last
night`s dry frontal passage and northwest flow aloft, afternoon
temperatures are struggling to get to 50.  In the same vain, with
clear skies and calm winds tonight, temperatures should bottom out
without breaking a sweat.  Morning lows in the 20s area wide are
expected.

Thanksgiving Day should be a treat for everyone, with plenty of
sunshine and temperatures a few degrees below normal.

After Turkey Day, it looks like we will have almost week`s worth of
temperature forecasting ahead.  Completely dry conditions are
expected through the Thanksgiving weekend, even though a frontal
system will pass through the mid-state Friday night.  The biggest
impact from that frontal passage will be Friday night and Saturday
morning clouds and a few wind gusts on Saturday afternoon.
Otherwise, we can expect at or just below normal temperatures
throughout this next week.

Our next shot at some rain may be as far away as Tuesday night or
Wednesday of next week, but models aren`t handling timing of our
next rain event very well.  Will carry only a 30 PoP Tuesday night
through Wednesday night of next week until models can agree a little
better.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A surface high pressure ridge will continue to build across the
Mid-State over the forecast period, producing VFR conditions and
mostly clear skies at area terminals. On Thanksgiving Day, the
ridge axis will extend from West Virginia, to southwest Kentucky
and Middle Tennessee, into central and southern parts of Arkansas.

Surface winds are forecast to be below 10 knots through 00z/24.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......07
AVIATION........19



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