Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 220249
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
849 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.EVENING UPDATE...

CURRENTLY STRATUS IS FILTERING NORTHWARD INTO MIDDLE TN AHEAD OF
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW EASILY SEEN SPINNING OVER MO FROM SATELLITE
IMAGERY. SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST WITH
THIS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BUT MOST LIKELY NOT UNTIL MIDDAY
MONDAY. HAVE PUSHED BACK POPS BECAUSE OF THAT. OVERNIGHT
CHANGES...REMOVED POP WORDING AND JUST LEFT IN DRIZZLE WORDING
OVER THE EAST SINCE THERE COULD BE OROGRAPHICALLY-DRIVEN SPRINKLES
OR DRIZZLE PULLED FROM THE STRATUS. ONLY MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO BETTER REFLECT CURRENT OBS.

UPDATE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION FORECAST

AVIATION...
DISTURBANCE WESTERN MISSOURI DOWN THROUGH ARKANSAS IS PULLING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE WITH CEILINGS
LOWERING IN THE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MVFR RANGE AND POSSIBLY IFR AT
CROSSVILLE AFTER 06Z. CANT RULE OUT SOME DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN ON
MONDAY BUT HARD TO JUSTIFY WITH SO MUCH SUBSIDENCE IN THE LOWER
LEVELS. GRADIENT TIGHTENS DURING THE DAY MONDAY SO HAVE INCLUDED
WIND GUSTS IN FORECASTS.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

AL





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