Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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352
FXUS65 KREV 260729
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1229 AM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Generally dry conditions are expected through the remainder of
  the week with brief elevated fire weather concerns today.

* Temperatures return to seasonal averages, then rise to above
  average this weekend.

* Next week, rain and storm chances return, while above average
  temperatures persist for early July.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A disturbance over Baja California today will bring a slight
wobble in the pressure gradient, continuing the trend of breezy
afternoon winds and low chances of showers. Like yesterday, there
is a 5% chance for showers in Mono county today. However, NE CA
can be added into the mix, with a 5% chance for a stray shower or
thunderstorm to develop. Afternoon breezes make their return
again today, with gusts up to 30 mph for much of W NV valleys,
including Reno, Carson City, and Minden. Gusts up to 35 mph along
the Sierra and in W NV aren`t out of the question. Coupled with
low humidities, 3-6 hours of localized critical fire weather are
likely today, mainly for W NV valleys.

A warming trend continues this week, topping out Sunday with highs
in the mid to upper 90s for W NV and getting into the mid 70s and
80s for Sierra communities. Moderate HeatRisk can be expected for
much of the area Sunday and Monday. We could see light showers
and thunderstorms along the OR border those days. By Tuesday, a
low off the coast of southern California may begin to impact the
area. Possible impacts include afternoon showers and thunderstorms,
primarily along the OR border. However, model guidance is mixed.
Stay tuned for more details as we get closer.

-Giralte

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions prevail for all terminals today, with westerly
afternoon gusts increasing to 25 to 30 kts for KRNO/KCXP/KMEV,
most likely between 26/21Z-27/03Z. KMMH has a less than 5% chance
for isolated showers today. If a shower does form, gusty and
erratic winds may materialize in the vicinity. Best chances will
be between 26/21Z-27/03Z.

-Giralte/HRICH

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$