Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 190008

608 PM CST Thu Dec 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 222 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

Low clouds and light fog continue across the entire forecast area
this afternoon, with temperatures only warming into the mid 30s.
Cloud cover will remain in place tonight, with ceilings dropping
this evening, resulting in rather widespread fog through the
overnight hours.  For now forecast visibilities have been reduced to
a 1/2 mile late this evening through tomorrow morning, though it`s
not beyond the realm of possibility that even lower values may be
observed.  Trends will be monitored this evening/tonight for dense
fog potential.

Forecast soundings suggest that low clouds and fog will continue
through much of the day tomorrow, though visibilities should slowly
improve during the late morning hours.  With abundant moisture and
persistent, relatively weak lift aloft, clouds look to remain in place
through the day.  A shortwave and associated surface low will track
along the Gulf coast tomorrow, which may result in a few flurries
and/or sprinkles making it into far south central Missouri.  The
track of this system appears to be far enough south to preclude any
significant precipitation, however.

Temperatures tomorrow will again only warm into the
mid to perhaps upper 30s in most spots, though we may be able to
crack 40 degrees across far southwestern Missouri and southeastern

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 222 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

Skies will slowly become partly cloudy Saturday, continuing through
Sunday, with weekend highs warming to seasonable values--generally
mid to upper 40s. Temperatures will warm further into the upper 40s
and low 50s Monday, with southerly winds increasing ahead of an
approaching cold front.

That front, the first of two, will pass through the area Monday
afternoon. This first front looks to be fairly weak, though a
smattering of rain showers appears possible Monday and Monday
evening. By early Tuesday, a much stronger front will then sweep
across the region, with sharply colder air arriving during the day
Tuesday. Precipitation lingering across the area Tuesday may end
during the day as a mix of rain and snow, though at this point
impacts look to be minimal.

The remainder of the 7 day forecast period will be cooler but
generally dry, with highs Christmas Eve and Christmas Day ranging from
the upper 30s to mid 40s, and overnight lows in the 20s.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 601 PM CST THU DEC 18 2014

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Weak low level flow and saturated low
levels will allow already low stratus to build down in the near
term. Low IFR conditions are expected. Low seasonal sun angles
will not likely allow for quick improvement in the morning. All
locations are ifr cat for this taf cycle, but some modest diurnal
improvement is expected after 16z-18z.




LONG TERM...Boxell
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