Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 221130 AAA
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
530 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

...12Z AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Dense fog will continue early this morning across the area and
existing Dense Fog Advisory handles things well through 9am. Once
the fog burns off temps will really warm up with record breaking
highs possible in some locations. Relative humidity values will
fall near or below 30 percent this afternoon across SE Kansas and
W Missouri. This combined with 20 mph wind gusts will create
elevated fire weather conditions. Low temps Tonight will remain
mild in the lower 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Shortwave trough and developing surface low pressure will move
across the plains and to the north of the area Thursday. While a
sprinkle/shower is possible early Thursday across west central
Missouri, it will likely remain a dry and very warm day as a
strong cap/elevated mixed layer moves into the area from the
southwest. Record high temps are possible again Thursday.

A dry cold front moves through Friday morning. Models suggest an
isolated shower/storm is possible across the eastern Ozarks Friday
morning however chances look fairly low. Gusty west winds and dry
air advecting in Friday will lead to elevated fire weather
conditions.

Saturdays forecast highs in the 40s will be a shock to the system
compared to recent temps. High pressure moving in Saturday and
Sunday will lead to a dry weekend however. Southwest flow
commences early next week with showers and thunderstorm chances
returning. Temperatures will also moderate during this timeframe
back to above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 519 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Dense fog and low ceilings will persist through mid morning across
the TAF sites. SGF and BBG will experience the worst conditions
this morning. Conditions will improve to VFR from late morning
through the rest of the day. Winds will remain generally light out
of the south. Some light fog will be possible overnight tonight
but currently does not look as dense as this morning.

&&

.CLIMATE...
There will be the potential for additional record highs through
mid week with highs in the middle to upper 70s...

Record HighsFeb 22nd Feb 23rd
Springfield 76/1995 79/1982
Joplin 87/199679/1982
Vichy- Rolla76/1995 81/1982
West Plains     74/1988     82/1996

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MOZ055>058-
     068>071-079>083-089>098-101>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Burchfield
CLIMATE...Burchfield



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