Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221907
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
207 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX detects no precipitation echoes. Skies over the island chain
are mostly sunny. Winds over land are east to southeast at 5 to 10
mph. C-MAN winds, on average, are east at 5 to 10 knots.
Temperatures are in the lower 80s.

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Friday night)...
An area of low pressure over the south central Gulf of Mexico will
slowly progress eastward tonight through Friday morning. This area
of low pressure will pass across the southern half of the Florida
peninsula Friday afternoon, before entering the Southwestern
Atlantic Ocean Friday night. Rain chances in the short term
portion of the forecast will be highest Thursday night when the
aforementioned area of low pressure is at its closest proximity to
the Florida Keys.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Wednesday)...
A cold front may pass through the Florida Keys Saturday or
Saturday night. An area of high pressure will progress eastward
through the Mid-Atlantic United States Sunday through Monday,
before entering the Western Atlantic Ocean Monday night. An
Atlantic ridge of high pressure will extend across the
Southeastern United States Tuesday through Wednesday. No more than
slight chance POPs are needed in the long term portion of the
forecast.

&&

.MARINE...
Light to gentle east breezes will turn to southeast to south
after midnight tonight. No advisories expected tonight through at
least Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will persist at EYW and MTH through at least
23/18z. Easterly winds will become light and variable overnight,
turning southerly and increasing to near 10 knots by 23/18z.
Vicinity showers will become a possibility towards 23/18z and
into Thursday night.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this date in Florida Keys weather history, in 1942, 0.93 inches
of rain fell in Key West. This set the daily record for maximum
rainfall measured in Key West on November 22nd, a record which
still stands 75 years later. Rainfall records at Key West date
back to 1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  75 81 72 79 / 20 40 60 50
Marathon  74 84 72 81 / 20 40 60 50

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BS
Aviation/Nowcasts....MCLOVIN
Data Collection......Chesser

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