Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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830
FXUS63 KTOP 302026
AFDTOP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Topeka KS
326 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 325 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016



.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 325 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

Wednesday, the upper level trough across the northern and central
plains will move east into the upper midwest. A cold front will move
southeast across the CWA during the morning hours. Any morning
showers and thunderstorms will move east of the CWA by noon. Skies
should clear from northwest to southeast across the CWA during the
afternoon hours. Highs will reach the mid 70s.

Wednesday night through Monday,

A broad upper level ridge will amplify across the western US while a
closed southern stream upper low develops across southern TX and
remains nearly stationary as it slowly fills. Expect mostly dry
conditions through the period. Some of the models show a weak trough
digging southward across NE, which may provide enough ascent for
isolated showers and thunderstorms Friday night. Highs through the
period will be in the lower 80s. Overnight lows will be in the 50s
to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

For the 18z TAFs, some scattered thunderstorms have developed
across southeast Kansas and these storms may become more widely
scattered near the TAF sites through this afternoon and early
evening. Expect this scattered precipitation to clear out later
this evening into the overnight hours. Several models are
suggesting that MVFR cigs/vis will be possible before sunrise Tuesday
morning as a stratus deck builds into the area. Some guidance is
even suggesting cigs could drop to IFR conditions at times.
Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible near
the TAF sites Tuesday morning as a front moves through the area,
however there is still some uncertainty in the timing and location
of this scattered precipitation.


&&

.TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hennecke
LONG TERM...Gargan
AVIATION...Hennecke



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