000
FLUS44 KTSA 281437
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
837 AM CST FRI FEB 28 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
837 AM CST FRI FEB 28 2014

...WINTER STORM POTENTIAL INCREASING SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.


SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WHICH
WILL FUEL A LIMITED FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY PRECIPITATION DURING THE
MORNING WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO DIMINISH THIS THREAT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...
         DANGEROUS WIND CHILL POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND PASS THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OFF
THE CALIFORNIA COAST THIS MORNING MOVES TOWARDS THE PLAINS.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THE STORM
SYSTEM...BRINGING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY SATURDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE
WILL INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WITH VERY COLD AIR PUSHING INTO
THE REGION AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD...A TRANSITION FROM
LIQUID TO WINTER PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL OCCUR FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT ICE AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EXCEPT FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FROM SATURDAY
EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. A LATE TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL
LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION...BUT THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST BY THIS TIME.

IN ADDITION TO THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION...STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT...ALLOWING WIND
CHILL VALUES TO DROP TO DANGEROUS SUBZERO LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
CONTINUE OR CONSIDER BEGINNING PREPAREDNESS EFFORTS IN ADVANCE OF
THE WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO START SATURDAY EVENING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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