Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 221750
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110 WILL BE COMMON THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT MAINTAINS SUNNY AND HOT CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THRU THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND WILL
SHIFT WEST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES EARLY IN
THE WEEK AND ONCE AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK...BOTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A NEARBY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WIND SHEAR ALOFT WILL STILL REMAIN FAIRLY
WEAK...THEREFORE THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK WILL BE LOW.

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST THRU THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE BACKING OFF SLIGHTLY AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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