Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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801
FLUS44 KTSA 012313
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
513 PM CST MON FEB 1 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 9 PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND
SHIFT MORE SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
LIMITED FIRE DANGERS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.

THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
MID TO LATE EVENING WITH RAIN SHOWERS AS WELL AS THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION. THESE CHANCES WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE BOUNDARY OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD
EXIT THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG WIND FIELDS OVER THE
REGION COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIALLY LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS OVER
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
HOWEVER...OVERALL LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT WIDESPREAD
SEVERE POTENTIAL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BUT NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND THEN BECOME
GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE GUSTY
WINDS BOTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND BEHIND ALONG WITH DRIER AIR
OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR HIGH FIRE DANGERS AGAIN ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ALSO BEHIND THE
FRONT...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER LOOK TO CONTINUE INTO
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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