Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 221006
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
506 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...WITH VALUES BETWEEN 105 AND
110 DEGREES COMMON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN
SUNNY AND HOT CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION TODAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THRU THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND WILL
SHIFT WEST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES EARLY
IN THE WEEK AND AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK...BOTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A NEARBY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WIND SHEAR ALOFT WILL STILL REMAIN
FAIRLY WEAK...THEREFORE THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK WILL BE LOW.

DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST THRU THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE BACKING OFF SLIGHTLY AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY


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