990
FXUS64 KMAF 130839
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
339 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 331 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

An upper level low in the Great Plains will push a weak cold front
into the area today. There is a big emphasis on the word "weak"
since temperatures will not be much different than yesterday. In
fact about the only way to tell a front has moved through the area
is winds shifting around from the northwest and north. Highs today
will reach the 80s to mid 90s. Low dewpoints, light winds, and clear
skies help temps to drop into the 50s to low 60s tonight. A return
of south to southwest winds Tuesday warm temperatures into the 90s.
No precipitation is expected in the short term.

Hennig

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 331 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

An upper level low moves into the Plains Tuesday night and into
Wednesday and will provide broad lift over the area. A dryline takes
shape to the west of Midland/Odessa. Guidance continues to show
showers and storms developing to the east of the dryline Wednesday
afternoon. Some storms that develop may be severe with hail and
damaging winds being the main threats. There is still a few days
before storms are expected, so the forecast will change. Storms end
Wednesday evening and the upper low ejects to the east. Storm
chances diminish and a front pushes through for Thursday bringing
temperatures back near average. The end of the week and into next
weekend stay hot and dry with temperatures well above normal in the
low to mid 90s areawide.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

MVFR/IFR CIGs are moving west across the Permian Basin. However a
northwesterly wind shift behind a weak cold front should keep
these CIGs from affect the TAF sites. Will have to keep a close
eye on MAF/HOB as these could briefly drop. Otherwise VFR
conditions and light winds will continue.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               86  57  93  66 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 86  57  95  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   94  64  97  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            89  61  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           79  61  84  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    84  54  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    84  51  89  55 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     86  58  93  67 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   86  59  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     89  59  96  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10