Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 120203
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
10 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Numerous boundary collisions this aftn/early eve produced scattered
storms with the primary threat being lightning strikes and heavy
rainfall. This is very typical of August. Outflow from the southern
storms pushed all the way back to the Space and Treasure coasts and
offshore, sparking additional showers and isolated storms near the
coast where instability remained. Still, not all locations saw
rainfall while a few received 1-3 inches in a short period of time.
Based on radar rainfall estimates, the most rain fell in rural
northern Okeechobee county, just west of Fort Drum, where 3-3.5" of
rain fell.

Expect a quiet overnight now that storms have ended with decreasing
clouds and lows in the mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Last cells pushing offshore from VRB/FPR through 03Z so VFR conds
expected overnight into Wed morning. Light south to southwest winds
aft sunrise will back E/SE at coastal terminals behind the sea
breeze btwn 16Z-17Z. TSRA will increase in coverage during the aftn
as the sea breeze pushes inland and collides with other boundaries.

&&

.MARINE...
Light south to southwest flow overnight and early Wed, backing E/SE
near the coast by late morning/early aftn behind the sea breeze. On
Wed, aftn storms will form just inland from the coast. Although
convection will mostly stay over land, gusty outflow winds will
affect portions of the intracoastal and very nearshore Atlc waters.
Seas 1-2 ft.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The Little Wekiva River near Altamonte Springs crossed
into Action Stage after a period of heavy rain this afternoon. The
river is forecast to remain in Action Stage but below Flood Stage
overnight. But additional heavy rains over the basin this week could
push the river closer to Flood Stage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  91  75  90 /  40  70  40  70
MCO  76  93  76  93 /  40  70  40  70
MLB  77  90  76  90 /  20  60  30  50
VRB  77  91  75  90 /  20  50  30  50
LEE  76  93  76  93 /  40  70  30  70
SFB  76  94  75  93 /  40  70  40  70
ORL  77  93  76  93 /  40  70  40  70
FPR  76  92  76  91 /  20  50  30  50

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Smith



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