Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS62 KMLB 270244
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1045 PM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020

.DISCUSSION...

KMLB Doppler radar showing a couple of streamers in reflectivity
extending onshore Brevard county from the Atlantic. These weak
boundaries should spark isolated showers, a few of which will push
onshore. Other heavier showers lifting NW just inland from the
Treasure coast will gradually weaken. A decaying frontal boundary
extends from NE FL out into the Atlc. A moist E/NE flow may bring
isolated showers across the Volusia coast late tonight. Min temps
will continue to be very mild for late October, in the low to mid
70s, which is 7 to 10 degrees above normal.

Tuesday (modified)...Mid-upper level high pressure strengthening
over the western Atlantic, as Hurricane Zeta continues pushing NW
across the Yucatan and eventually northward over the central GOMEX.
Locally, easterly winds persisting at 10-15 mph. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms expected Tuesday afternoon, with highest
chances across the north interior. Lower PoPs along the Treasure
Coast, around 20%. An isolated thunderstorm or two will be possible.
Above normal temperatures will continue, with max temps reaching mid
80s coast and upper 80s/near 90 interior.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR next 24 hours. Isolated SHRA may affect FPR/VRB thru 05Z.
On TUe, E/SE flow 8-12 knots with SCT SHRA over the north interior
aft 18Z. Have included a VCSH for LEE then. Elsewhere, coverage and
confidence too low to mention.


&&

.MARINE...
No significant changes to current coastal waters forecast. Swells
continuing to slowly diminish, with buoy observations showing
combined seas of 3-4ft. E to SE flow 10-14kts. A slight chance of
showers will linger overnight and a few showers will push onshore
overnight. A chance of showers Tuesday, mainly north of the Cape,
with a slight chance of thunderstorms.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The latest forecast has the Saint Johns River at Astor
continuing a slow decrease within Minor Flood Stage through the
upcoming week. Elsewhere, the Saint Johns River at Sanford and near
Lake Harney is forecast to stay within or near Action Stage,
while at DeLand the river is forecast to continue just below
Action Stage. Refer to daily Flood Statements and River Statements
from NWS Melbourne for the latest river levels and forecasts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  86  74  86 /  20  30  10  10
MCO  74  89  73  90 /  20  40  10  20
MLB  76  87  76  87 /  20  20  10  10
VRB  74  88  76  87 /  20  20  10  10
LEE  73  89  73  89 /  10  40  10  20
SFB  74  88  73  89 /  10  40  10  10
ORL  75  90  74  90 /  20  40  10  20
FPR  73  86  75  87 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Combs


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.