Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 020207
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1007 PM EDT Fri Jul 1 2022

.DISCUSSION...
Light rain showers are diminishing across east central Florida
after an active day of thunderstorms. Due to the scattered nature
of storms, some locations saw little to no rain, while other
spots picked up 2-3 inches with local amounts over 4 inches.
Tonight will remain dry for most of the area, though isolated
showers and lightning storms are possible over the Atlantic
waters. Some of this activity could approach the coast toward
sunrise Saturday, with rain chances quickly increasing through the
daytime hours.

Partly cloudy conditions with temperatures in the low to mid 70s
are forecast overnight. Temperatures along the coast will stay a
few degrees warmer in the upper 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...

Activity is beginning to diminish with scattered debris
rain/showers still ongoing, mainly from DAB-SFB-MCO-ISM, with
activity pushing eastward. Included VCSH from MLB to ISM northward
until 06Z. Light S/SE winds overnight will increase to around
5-10 KT by mid-morning before increasing to around 10-12KT along
the coast as the ECSB forms. Similar pattern convection wise
tomorrow, VCTS everywhere starting around 18Z, going through the
afternoon and early evening hours. No TEMPOs at this time, but
models show another late day collision, especially from MLB-ISM
northward. TEMPOs will likely be added next TAF package, most
likely timing for convection will be around 21Z till around 00Z
with activity ending earlier from VRB southward. VFR conditions
expected outside of convection through the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...

Boating conditions are generally favorable tonight. Isolated rain
showers and lightning storms remain possible, especially over the
offshore Atlantic waters. SSE winds 15 to 20 knots will slowly
decrease overnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  90  74  91 /  60  70  20  50
MCO  74  92  75  93 /  60  70  20  60
MLB  77  89  77  90 /  40  60  20  50
VRB  75  90  76  91 /  20  50  10  40
LEE  74  91  75  92 /  60  70  20  60
SFB  74  91  75  91 /  60  70  20  60
ORL  76  92  77  93 /  60  70  20  60
FPR  75  89  75  89 /  20  50  10  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
RADAR....Fehling
AVIATION...Watson


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