Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 211435
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1035 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

...Hazardous Boating and Surf Conditions Continue This Weekend...

Morning sounding at the Cape shows a very shallow layer of
moisture in the lower levels, with much drier air above inversion
at 800mb. While PW values are quite low around an inch, the breezy
easterly flow is still able to squeeze what little moisture there
is available to produce isolated light showers and sprinkles over
the waters. This activity and areas of marine stratocu will
continue to move onshore through the afternoon. Better potential
for any light measurable precip will remain along the coast, so
will keep PoPs limited to 20 percent there, while inland will keep
rain chances below mentionable levels. Not expected to be as
windy as yesterday, as 925mb winds have come down slightly to
around 20 knots. However will still be a breezy day with sustained
winds up to 15 to 20 mph and gusts to 25 mph. This elevated
onshore flow will keep highs near to just below seasonable norms,
with highs ranging from the mid-upper 80s.

Lingering large, long-period swells from Humberto will continue
to keep beach conditions hazardous, with dangerous rip currents
and rough surf. A High Risk of Rip Currents remains in effect, and
have extended the High Surf Advisory along the coast of east
central Florida through Sunday.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions mainly expected, with breezy E/ENE
winds 14-18kts, gusting to around 20-22 knots. Isolated light
showers and sprinkles will continue to develop and push onshore,
but any reductions in cig/vis will be brief and limited, so will
keep any mention of tempo MVFR conditions out of the TAFs.

&&

.MARINE...Hazardous boating conditions continue across the coastal
waters today, with E/ENE winds up to 15 to 20 knots and combined
seas up to 7-10 feet nearshore and 9-11 feet offshore. A Small
Craft Advisory remains in effect.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  85  73  83  68 /  20   0   0   0
MCO  87  70  86  68 /  10   0  10   0
MLB  86  77  84  72 /  20   0  10  10
VRB  87  75  83  68 /  20  10  10  10
LEE  88  70  89  69 /  10   0   0   0
SFB  86  71  86  68 /  10   0   0   0
ORL  87  71  87  69 /  10   0  10   0
FPR  87  76  84  69 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for Coastal Volusia-
     Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St.
     Lucie.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Sunday for Flagler Beach to
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
     60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20
     nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

Weitlich/Volkmer


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