Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 170520
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
120 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

.AVIATION...

[Through 06z Tuesday] VFR conditions are expected through the
period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [826 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Monday]...

High pressure over the eastern CONUS will keep mostly easterly to
southeasterly flow over the area. Upper level ridging nosing in
from the south will cause temperatures to continue to warm, with
high temperatures on Monday forecast in the mid to upper 80s, but
dry conditions will keep apparent temperatures closer to the mid
80s. Low temperatures overnight tonight are forecast in the mid to
upper 50s.


.SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Tuesday Night]...

Dry and warm conditions persist through the short term with
surface high pressure parked to the northeast and upper ridging
overhead. High temperatures remain in the mid to upper 80s on
Tuesday, with low temperatures warming slightly into the low to
mid 60s as moisture slowly returns to the area.


.LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday]...

Dry conditions and even warmer temperatures are expected through
the long term period. Surface high pressure retreats westward a
bit, although remaining north of our area. Upper level ridging
strengthens and parks almost directly overhead, shutting down
precipitation chances despite moisture return across the area.
High temperatures will rise into the 90s this weekend with low
temperatures remaining in the mid 60s.


.MARINE...

Easterly winds will remain moderate through the day today.
Easterly winds will continue to be moderate to strong early this
week and may reach 20 knots again Tuesday night and Wednesday
night. Dry weather is expected for the next week as high pressure
sits over the Southeast.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across SW Georgia on
Monday with relative humidity in the mid 20% range. Fuel moisture
and winds should preclude any red flag conditions. High dispersions
are expected each afternoon for the next several days due to high
mixing heights and breezy transport winds.


.HYDROLOGY...

All area rivers are in good shape. No rainfall is expected over
the next week.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   85  64  86  65  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   81  67  83  68  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        84  64  86  64  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        85  64  89  64  89 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      84  62  86  63  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    86  63  88  64  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  78  67  80  69  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM...Merrifield
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Merrifield


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