Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 220510
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1210 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Latest water vapor imagery shows a potent mid level circulation
center nearing the OK/TX border, with an increase in convection
noted downstream. A few lightning strikes are occurring mainly
south and east of a line from Fayetteville to Fort Smith.
Lightning should be fairly isolated, decreasing as soon as the
upper wave moves by. MVFR or IFR ceilings can be expected at the
eastern Oklahoma terminals along with reduced visibility due to
light rain showers or drizzle. The precipitation has been more
scattered across western Arkansas so will include some tempo
groups to best represent the varying conditions. Some improvement
in ceilings and visibility is forecast by Sunday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 922 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The more widespread rain has shifted east of the region this
evening, but still expect some redevelopment overnight as
the upper low passes through. Areas of drizzle will be possible
as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  69  48  71 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   53  69  50  74 /  20  10  10  10
MLC   51  68  49  73 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   48  69  46  71 /  10  10  10  20
FYV   51  63  48  69 /  30  10  10  10
BYV   50  61  48  68 /  40  10  10  10
MKO   50  68  48  71 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   50  65  48  69 /  30  10  10  10
F10   50  68  48  71 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   53  69  51  76 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


LONG TERM....07
AVIATION.....06

CORFIDI


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