421
FXUS64 KTSA 230801
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
201 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 156 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

 - Cool temperatures today, with warmer conditions returning for
   Friday and Saturday.

 - Rain chances develop Saturday night through Sunday night south
   of Interstate 40. Additional rain chances return areawide on
   Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 156 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

Cool temperatures and somewhat breezy conditions are resulting in
wind chills in the teens to low 20s this morning. Northerly winds
today will continue to advect cool air into the region, with highs
ranging from the mid 30s in the north to the mid 40s in the south.
Periods of cloud cover are expected, but no precipitation is
anticipated.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 156 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

Warm southerly winds develop Friday and Saturday ahead of the
next storm system. High temperatures will climb into the low 40s
to near 50 F Friday (warmest in the south), and then upper 40s to
mid 50s Saturday. Then, another boundary will slide through, with
cooler weather for Sunday as shallow cold air sloshes in. A storm
system will graze the southern portions of the area late Sunday
into Monday, with a 10- 30% chance of a few showers south of I-40.
Overall, rainfall totals look to be minimal.

Southerly flow resumes Monday into the middle of next week, with a
cut off low sitting west of the area. Mild conditions will develop,
with highs in the low to mid 50s (if not warmer). This will
represent the best chance of rain for most locations during the
forecast period and potentially some thunder potential as well.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1037 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the valid period at
all area sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   39  18  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   45  21  48  28 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   43  18  50  35 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   36  14  49  24 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   39  13  44  28 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   38  14  42  29 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   41  18  48  31 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   35  15  44  29 /   0   0   0   0
F10   41  19  49  33 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   47  21  50  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...10