000
FXUS63 KSGF 230435
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1135 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Water vapor imagery showing nicely the upper level low spinning
across northwest Arkansas this afternoon. A large shield of rain
continues across southern into central Missouri as the individual
elements are moving northwest around the low. This upper level low
will slowly move across northern Arkansas tonight an then lift
northeast into the Ohio Valley Monday. The slow movement of this
system will help linger rain across the eastern Ozarks through much
of the day Monday, while further east, the rain will end this
evening. Temperatures on Monday will be somewhat tricky, with the
warmest readings across southeast Kansas and western Missouri where
the rain will end sooner. This will help readings top off in the
middle and upper 60s, while the eastern Ozarks will only be in the
upper 50s to around 60.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

The slow improvement in conditions should continue Monday night as
the rain becomes more scattered in nature across the eastern Ozarks
before ending with clearing skies from east to west. Lows area-wide
in the middle to upper 40s.

The area will be between systems on Tuesday as shortwave ridging
builds across the area ahead of the next weather system.
Temperatures will rebound back to near seasonal normals with dry and
pleasant conditions expected.

A general northwest flow pattern will continue over the mid section
of the country into early next weekend. This will keep temperatures
at or slightly below normals from Wednesday through Saturday.
Several shortwave troughs will drop through the flow bringing a
chance of showers to the region. The first looks to passes through
the area Tuesday night into Wednesday evening, while a second one
drops through Thursday, but just brushes the area from the north.
The quiet weather continues into Sunday as upper level ridging
builds in with temperatures near normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports will
be dealing with IFR and MVFR ceilings throughout the night and
into early Monday morning. There will also be areas of light to
rainfall, due to a large upper level storm system thats slowly
moving through the region.

Rain should remain light enough to not push visibilities into the
MVFR range.

Look for northeast to north breezes to persist well into Monday.

Safe Travels.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Cramer