Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 250857
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
357 AM CDT Tue Jul 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A break in storm activity today as an upper level ridge begins to
shift over the Panhandles. Might be just enough instability and
lift to get a couple isolated storms across the northwest
Panhandles this afternoon. Otherwise conditions will be fairly
dry. This dry period will be short lived as the high pressure
will retrograde back west over the four corners later tonight
into Wednesday, returning northwest flow to the area.

By Wednesday evening a shortwave trough associated with a cold
front is expected to generate a line of convection that could
extend from the Panhandles all the way to the Great Lakes region.
Right now the model trend is for the frontal system to move
through later in the evening after peak heating, and thusly may
not present a severe weather threat.  With this cold front, 850
temps drop about 5-10 degrees C over 24 hours depending on which
model you follow.

Several impulses within the flow will bring a chances for storms
through the remainder of the extended. Temperatures are expected
to be on a slow rise as we head back into the weekend. By the end
of the weekend the ridge may shift far enough east that a brief
cool down could be in play for the Panhandles.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS...
VFR conditions to prevail for the next 24 hours. Winds will
remain from a south to southeastern direction overnight before
increasing out of the south to southwest. There is a chance for a
few isolated storms tomorrow afternoon but the chance of these
storms to impact the terminals is low.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                95  70  95  70  89 /  10   5  20  30  40
Beaver OK                 100  76 101  72  88 /  20   5  30  40  40
Boise City OK              95  68  92  66  81 /  20  10  40  50  50
Borger TX                  98  76  99  73  90 /  10   5  20  30  40
Boys Ranch TX              98  73  98  71  90 /  10   5  30  40  40
Canyon TX                  95  69  95  70  90 /  10   5  20  30  40
Clarendon TX               96  71  97  72  93 /  10   5  10  20  30
Dalhart TX                 97  70  96  68  86 /  20  10  40  50  50
Guymon OK                  99  74  98  69  86 /  20  10  30  40  40
Hereford TX                95  70  95  69  91 /  10   5  20  30  40
Lipscomb TX                99  76 100  73  90 /  10   5  20  30  40
Pampa TX                   97  72  99  71  91 /  10   5  20  30  40
Shamrock TX                98  73  99  74  95 /  10   5   5  20  30
Wellington TX              99  72 100  75  98 /  10   5   5  10  30

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/24



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