Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 311740
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1140 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.AVIATION...
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TERMINALS FOR THE START OF
THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. GENERALLY EXPECT A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT AT EACH
TERMINAL OVER THE FIRST FEW HOURS BUT EXPECT SUB-VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THIS TAF ISSUANCE. PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO
END AT THE TERMINALS AROUND 22Z THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP TO IMPACT KGUY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, BUT HAVE
LEFT OUT OF PREVAILING CONDITIONS DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE. SHOULD THIS
PRECIP OCCUR IT COULD BE A MIX OF RAIN OR SNOW. TOMORROW MORNING A
COLD FRONT WILL DIVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLES TO SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE
NORTH AND INCREASE INTO THE 20KT RANGE.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WILL GO AHEAD AND CANCEL THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THIS
FORECAST. IT APPEARS THAT THERE WAS TOO MUCH OF A WARM NOSE
ACCORDING TO LAST NIGHT/S AMA SOUNDING TO GET MUCH FROZEN
PRECIPITATION. THIS WARM NOSE WILL ONLY GET DEEPER AND WARMER
TODAY...SO HAVE SWITCHED ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO
LIQUID. SOME SNOW MAY TRY TO MIX WITH THE RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...BUT WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY
ACCUMULATION AS THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE COMING TO AN END BY
THEN.

A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PASS BY TO OUR NORTH
SENDING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SO
EXPECT GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. A NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL GET BACK UP ABOVE
NORMAL BY TUESDAY BEFORE GETTING KNOCKED DOWN AGAIN FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN REBOUND AGAIN BY
NEXT WEEK FRIDAY AS UPPER HEIGHTS RISE A LITTLE AS THE UPPER
RIDGE TO OUR WEST TRIES TO NUDGE IT/S WAY EAST.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/09





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