Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 172045

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
345 PM CDT Fri Mar 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 323 PM CDT Fri Mar 17 2017

Winds will diminish this evening across central North Dakota and
the James Valley. With high pressure and light winds some of the
short-term models are hinting at fog overnight...mainly across
central North Dakota. Much colder temperatures are expected mainly
north and east, with cloud cover potentially limiting the high
pressure temperature plunge west. However, we will see a quick
rebound in temperatures tomorrow as an upper level ridge and warm
air advection moves into the region. A tight temperature gradient
will form over North Dakota with temperatures in the 60s southwest
and 30s northeast.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 323 PM CDT Fri Mar 17 2017

A cold front will move through Sunday night into Monday morning.
Some light rain/snow is possible across southern North Dakota with
this frontal passage. The next chance of precipitation comes
Wednesday as we transition from northwest to southwest flow and a
wave moves through. A more potent storm will take shape for the
end of the week, but a lot of uncertainty remains as to what and
where the impacts will be.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 323 PM CDT Fri Mar 17 2017

VFR conditions at all TAF sites through the TAF period. Gusty
northwest winds will subside by this evening at all terminals.
Some patchy fog may develop around KBIS/KMOT later this evening,
but confidence isn`t high enough to put in the TAF at this time.




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