Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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424
FXUS63 KBIS 241146
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
546 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 541 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Current forecast looks good and see no necessary changes.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 338 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Just a few concerns in the short term. A patch of clouds and
flurries are moving south with the leading wedge of cool air from
surface high pressure in Canada into north central North Dakota
this morning. Because of the insulating effect of the cloud cover
the temperatures are rising across the north and central. Clear
skies across the south are allowing temperatures to cool into the
single digits so quite a range in temperatures this morning.

This afternoon the clouds will move slowly south and the short
range models show little in the way of precipitation. Cloudy skies
will end up of across the south and west by this evening.

Highs today will be in the 20s to around 30 and lows tonight
single digits to the teens.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 338 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

The focus in the long term will be the chance for accumulating
snow Monday night and Tuesday. This precipitation is associated
with an open and progressive wave moving across the central
CONUS. The GEFS plumes with the 00Z model runs have backed off a
bit on the precipitation potential and agree with this. Current
snow amounts look more in the one to three inch range across
central and southeast North Dakota from this event.

Otherwise it will be generally dry except for some small chances
for light snow Saturday into Sunday. Temperatures look fairly
consistent through the period with highs in the 20s to around 30
and lows from the single digits to the teens.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 541 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

A weak region of high pressure will remain over North Dakota
today. Expect scattered to broken clouds 3 to 6 thousand agl.
Clouds briefly 25 hundred agl at KISN this morning.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...WAA



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