Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 042130
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
330 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 327 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

Surface cold front has moved through the area during the overnight
period last night as the surface high continues to assert its
dominance over the forecast area. Current surface analysis has the
surface high over the northern High Plains, with a decent pressure
gradient over the forecast area, which is making for some blustery
conditions. By tonight the surface high will be better centered over
the forecast area, which will cause winds to generally decrease.
With skies staying partly cloudy it will prevent some of the
radiational cooling, but with the cold air mass in place and little
wind radiational cooling will take place, and will bring overnight
lows into the single digits in far northern Missouri and teens along
and south of Interstate 70. With temperatures starting out rather
low expect temperatures on Thursday to struggle to warm up as the
surface high gradually moves out. By Thursday afternoon the high
will be to our east and southerly return flow commences. By Friday
the warm air advection will be ongoing long enough to provide the
area with warming temperatures. As the mid level pattern transitions
into more of a zonal flow pattern for the next few days and with 850
mb temperatures warming, expect a gradual warming trend through the
weekend into next week. Will start with 50s for the weekend, and by
mid week it`s conceivable that most of the area will be solidly in
the 60s. No chances for precipitation are in the forecast for the
foreseeable future.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1123 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

VFR conditions expected for next 24 hours. Gradual weakening of the
winds, but generally staying out of the north.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Leighton
AVIATION...Leighton





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