Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 270446

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1146 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

A frontal boundary continues to stall just southeast of the CWA this
afternoon with lingering showers and cloud cover in our southern
counties. This should continue to move away from the area overnight
while surface high pressure continues to move overhead through the
evening. A weak mid level shortwave is forecast to move southeast
through the northern Plains and into the Midwest allowing a weak
surface cold front to drive south across the CWA late tonight.
There appears to be little in the way of any large scale forcing
with only weak surface convergence along the boundary. Moisture
looks limited as well but various model guidance continues to
produce a small area of pcpn along this frontal boundary. Will
continue to ride a small pop along the front overnight into Monday
morning but confidence is fairly low.

Surface high pressure will build south across the northern Plains
Monday night into Tuesday. Weak shortwave energy then slides
southeast into the region by late Tuesday. A convective complex
is forecast to develop across western South Dakota in association
with this wave and drop southeast through the overnight hours
Tuesday and into early Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

The area will remain in northwesterly flow aloft through the
remainder of the forecast with periodic chances for thunderstorms.
Dome of hot air will remain to our southwest under the ridge while
a back door cold front keeps our temperatures on the mild side.


.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS for KOMA...KLNK...KOFK through 06Z Tuesday)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Generally VFR conditions are forecast through Monday evening.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will approach KOFK between 06Z
and 12Z, but will likely diminish before reaching TAF site. There is
a slight chance for more showers or storms to develop during the day
Monday at KLNK and KOMA, but expected coverage and low chance
prohibits a mention in TAF at this time. Otherwise broken mid level
clouds should lower to near FL050 by Monday afternoon with light
south or southeast winds turning to the northeast.


.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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