Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 291121

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
452 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

Issued at 445 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2016

High pressure over the area will help keep pleasant weather
through Thursday with relatively cool temperatures and low humidity.
Highs today through Thursday will range from 75 to around 80. Lows
tonight will range from 50 to 55.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 443 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2016

Pleasant weather with low humidity can be expected today with a high
pressure system over the region. Highs should be close to 77
degrees. A few daytime clouds should dissipate early tonight,
allowing one more cool night with lows in the lower 50s.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 443 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2016

The high pressure system will move east Thursday allowing return
flow to begin; however, moisture return will be very limited.
Another cold front will move across the area late Thursday and
should bring a round of showers and a few thunderstorms Thursday
night and early Friday. The lack of moisture will really limit
instability with CAPE values struggling to reach 500 J/Kg.

Have adjusted rain/storm chances Friday to end by early afternoon.
The front will bring two more cool nights Friday night and Saturday
night with lows in the 50s. The upper level flow will become more
zonal over the weekend. A fairly significant short wave trof will
move east in the flow early next week. The GFS and ECMWF are in
very good agreement with this system bringing a very close call
with a convective complex moving just south of the area Monday.
The GFS has trended this system north to the south edge of the
forecast area. Have left a chance for storms in the southern
portion of the area, mainly south of Ft Wayne on the 4th of July.
This system will need to be watched for a farther north trend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 116 AM EDT Wed Jun 29 2016

vfr conditions with just a few cu expected through the taf period
as high pressure builds into the area today.


.IWX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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