Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 261958
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
258 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED OUT BEHIND THIS MORNING`S COLD FRONT...AND A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRODUCING BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. KEEPING
AN EYE ON SOME POST FRONTAL CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...BUT CURRENTLY THINK THIS WILL ONLY PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS
ACROSS OUR AREA. WINDS WILL COME DOWN TONIGHT AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES...
AND IT WILL BE COOL WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 40S WELL
INLAND AND IN THE LOW TO MID 50S AT THE COAST. EXPECT QUIET WEATHER
WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD/WARM DAYS THROUGH SUNDAY. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY
PERSISTS IN NEXT WEEK`S RAIN FORECAST AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENT
SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE STRENGTH/LOCATION/TIMING OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS LOW RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY
INCREASING CHANCES ON TUESDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT HIGHER RAIN CHANCES
MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED...AND THESE HIGHER VALUES MIGHT NEED TO BE
STRETCHED INTO WEDNESDAY. MAYBE ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT TO CLEAR THINGS
OUT NEXT FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.  42
&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTHWESTERLIES BEHIND THE EARLY DAY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER THE LOCAL BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS
TO BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE EVENING...DELAYED TO AROUND
SUNRISE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS. GENERALLY...SEAS WILL LIKELY REACH
5 FEET NEARSHORE...7 FEET OFFSHORE...UNTIL OFFSHORE FLOW SLACKENS.
WEAKENED BACKING WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY BY LATE FRIDAY...ONSHORE BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. RESPONDING SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO TO 3 FEET OR UNDER
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THIS WAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THE
TIGHTENING ONSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN SOUTHEASTERN HIGH
PRESSURE AND LOWERING WEST TEXAS PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN
SOUTHERLIES TO SLIGHTLY UNDER CAUTION LEVELS AND PICK SEAS UP BY A
FOOT OR TWO TO BEGIN THE NEXT WORK WEEK. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1237 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

AVIATION...
ANOTHER HOUR OR SO OF POST-FRONTAL MVFR CEILINGS...SCATTERING OUT
TO VFR BY 19-20Z. THE CURRENT ROBUST NORTHERLY WIND BEHIND THIS
MORNING`S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AROUND SUNSET
..REMAIN OFFSHORE AND VERY LIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY`S SUNRISE. AREAWIDE
SKC FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH THE REMINDER OF THIS TAF PERIOD.
31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      45  75  49  79  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              49  75  52  79  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            54  69  59  73  63 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...31



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