Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMLB 200127 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
925 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

OVERNIGHT...WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH IS DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL FL THIS
EVENING NICELY TRACED OUT BY A CONVERGENT CLOUD LINE OVER THE ATLC.
WINDS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ARE VEERING MORE EASTERLY SO THE TROUGH
WILL STALL OVERNIGHT. THE PRIMARY CONVERGENT CLOUD LINE OR STREAMER
OFFSHORE BREVARD COUNTY CONTAINS SOME SHOWERS/SPRINKLES OVER THE
ATLC. A FEW OF THESE WILL LIKELY CROSS THE BREVARD COAST AND
EVENTUALLY THE VOLUSIA COAST BY MORNING AS FLOW VEERS TO THE SE.
WILL KEEP PATCHY FOG FOR THE INTERIOR GIVEN LIGHT SFC WINDS AND
SHALLOW MOISTURE. MINS SHOULD AVERAGE ABOUT 5-8F HIGHER THAN THIS
MORNING WITH READINGS BY SUNRISE IN THE MID 60S...WITH SOME UPPER
60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

MONDAY...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL START TO VEER AROUND TO SERLY...ALBEIT
REMAINING LIGHT. THE WEAK REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PIVOT BACK
NWD...WITH ASCD MOISTURE NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE. COULD BE A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS IN VICINITY OF THIS FEATURE...MAINLY DURING THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON NORTH AND EAST OF ORLANDO. THUS...HAVE
KEPT THE SMALL RAIN CHANCE THERE. MAX TEMPS WILL AVG ABOUT A CAT
WARMER THAN TODAY...IN THE MID-UPPER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. SOME SPOTTY MVFR MIFG/BR WILL BE PSBL 08Z-12Z
MCO-SFB WWD TO ISM-LEE. ALSO...INDICATING BKN035 (BARELY VFR)
MLB-DAB WITHIN VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS ABOVE THE SFC NORTH OF THE
FRONTAL TROUGH. ISOLD SHRA WILL CROSS THE COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT/MON...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS OFFSHORE NORTH LEG
(VOLUSIA) WITH SEAS UP TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE...10-15 KNOTS AND 3-4
FEET. LIGHT E TO SE WINDS BY MON AFTERNOON WITH A DOMINANT SWELL
COMPONENT KEEPING SEAS IN THE 3-4FT RANGE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  66  83  66  85 /  20  30  20  10
MCO  64  86  66  87 /  10  10  10  20
MLB  68  84  68  84 /  10  10  10  20
VRB  67  86  68  86 /  10  10  10  30
LEE  64  86  66  87 /  10  10  10  10
SFB  64  86  67  87 /  10  20  10  20
ORL  66  86  68  87 /  10  10  10  20
FPR  66  85  66  85 /  10  10   0  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

KELLY/SHARP






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