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000
FXUS62 KMLB 310346 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1030 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST. COOL NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
PRODUCE LOWS IN THE 40S EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF
THE CAPE. BREVARD AND TREASURE COAST LOW TEMPS ARE TRICKY AS FLOW
VEERS WITH TIME AND MODELS SHOW LESS DECOUPLING...MEANING SURFACE
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS WELL. SLIGHT DEVIATION IN
WIND DIRECTION BETWEEN N/NW AND NE WILL MEAN THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
MID 40S AND MID 50S. WILL KEEP LOW 50S ALONG THE BREVARD COAST AND
MID 50S TREASURE COAST WHERE FLOW IS MORE LIKELY TO KEEP ONSHORE
COMPONENT.

HIGH THIN CIRRUS WILL STREAM OVERHEAD. SOME MARINE STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS MAY START PUSHING ONSHORE SOUTH OF THE CAPE BY SUNRISE.

SATURDAY...SURFACE HIGH BUILDS SOUTHEAST FROM ON/TN VALLEYS DURING
THE DAY VEERING FLOW ONSHORE AND LIMITING ANY POST FRONTAL COOL AIR
ADVECTION. PARTLY SUNNY SKIES OVERALL...THOUGH AS ONSHORE FLOW TAPS
INTO REMNANT FRONTAL MOISTURE COASTAL AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOUDIER
WITH MARINE STRATOCU MOVING INTO THE COAST. HIGHS A FEW DEGREES OFF
NORMAL IN THE UPPER 60S/AROUND 70...THOUGH ONSHORE FLOW WILL HOLD
VOLUSIA COAST IN THE MID 60S.


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. NE-E FLOW ON SAT WILL ADVECT MARINE STRATOCU WITH CLOUD BASE
NEAR 040AGL ONSHORE WITH OCNL BKN CIGS.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT-SATURDAY...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
SCA CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. FLOW VEERS NORTHEAST 15KTS BY DAYBREAK AND
EAST-NORTHEAST 10-15KTS SAT AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH REACHES THE
CAROLINA COAST.

SEAS RAMPING UP TO 7FT IN THE GULF STREAM OVERNIGHT WITH COOL NORTH
WIND OPPOSING THE WARM GULF STREAM. SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. BOATING CONDITIONS WILL BE POOR.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  44  65  48  75 /   0   0  10  10
MCO  48  70  49  77 /   0   0   0  10
MLB  49  67  54  73 /   0   0  10  10
VRB  52  69  54  75 /   0   0  10  10
LEE  44  69  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  45  68  49  76 /   0   0   0  10
ORL  47  68  50  76 /   0   0   0  10
FPR  52  69  54  75 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

KELLY/VOLKMER