Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 251345
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
945 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure building off the Carolina coast will be the dominant
WX feature for the FL peninsula today as it suppresses higher
moisture over the FL Straits. RAP40 analysis shows an H100-H70
anticyclone centered just off the GA/SC coast that will maintain a
deep erly flow. This in turn will tap a dry/stable airmass over the
W Atlc with H100-H70 mean RH values AOB 50pct...avg H85-H50 dew
point depressions btwn 25C-30C. Not surprisingly...mrng RAOB
soundings were quite dry for late May...ranging from arnd 1.00" over
north and central FL to btwn 1.25"-1.50" over south FL.

Enhanced drying and subsidence overhead generated by the ridge will
preclude any precip chances this aftn...expect fair WX under mostly
sunny skies. A fresh erly breeze around 15 mph will keep coastal
temps in the M80s...interior temps warming into the U80s/L90s under
near full sun. Sfc RH will bottom out in the L/M30 pct along and
north of the I-4 corridor...M40/L50 pct along the coast and arnd
Lake-O.

No updates necessary this mrng.

&&

.AVIATION...Thru 26/12Z.
Sfc Winds: Thru 25/16Z...E/SE 6-10KTS incrsg to 9-13KTS. Btwn 25/16Z-
25/24Z...E/SE 11-14KTS with ocnl G18-22KTS. Btwn 26/00Z-26/03Z...
E/SE dcrsg to 4-8KTS interior sites...6-10KTS coastal sites.

Vsbys/WX/Cigs: VFR. Btwn 25/18Z-25/24Z...interior sites lcl cigs
btwn FL040-060.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure centered just off the Carolina coast will maintain the
gentle to moderate Erly breeze that has prevailed the past few
days...ocnl sfc gusts arnd 20KTS near the coast this aftn/evng. Seas
3-4FT. Shras not expected as the high pressure keeps deep moisture
suppressed over the FL Straits. No sig changes with the mrng update.

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM........Bragaw
RADAR/IMPACT WX...Johnson



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