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000
FXUS62 KMLB 190120
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
920 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...DRIER AIR REMAINED IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH KEPT THE INLAND MOVING SEA BREEZE DRY
FOR THE MOST PART ONCE IT MOVED WEST OF I-95. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS HAVE ONLY DEVELOPED IN THE PAST HOUR WITH THE SEA BREEZE
COLLISION AROUND SUNSET...THOUGH THE COLLISION OCCURRED FURTHER WEST
INTO SUMTER AND POLK COUNTIES THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. A FEW STORMS
MAY BRUSH WESTERN LAKE COUNTY OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS...BUT FOR THE
MOST LOCATIONS IT WILL EB A DRY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT UNDER MOSTLY
CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

A FEW ATLANTIC SHOWERS MAY BRUSH THE TREASURE COAST LATE TONIGHT
ALONG WITH PATCHY GROUND FOG DUE TO THE HIGHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
HOWEVER THE COVERAGE AND STRENGTH IS NOT ENOUGH FOR A FORECAST
MENTION.

MILD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S.

FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SUNDAY...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS LOW LEVEL S/SE FLOW
PERSISTS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
REGION AND WILL PRODUCE LIGHT ENOUGH WINDS FOR SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
TO MOVE INLAND AND COLLIDE OVER THE INTERIOR LATE IN THE DAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH BEST COVERAGE OVER THE INTERIOR DUE TO THE SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS. LINGERING DRY MID LEVEL AIR AND COOL 500MB
TEMPS AROUND -10C WILL ONCE AGAIN LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
STRONGER INLAND STORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL REMAIN
SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL RANGING FROM THE MID 80S ALONG THE COAST
TO NEAR 90 DEGREES INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA WEST OF KLEE-KISM THROUGH 19/03Z WITH
TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS. LOCAL GROUND FOG MAY BRING BRIEF MVFR VSBYS
TOWARDS SUNRISE. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO TOMORROW
WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF ISO/SCT SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL
FLORIDA INTO THE AFT.

&&

.MARINE...TONIGHT-SUNDAY...RIDGE AXIS OVER NORTH FLORIDA SHIFTS
SOUTHWARD AND ACROSS THE WATERS TOMORROW WITH WINDS GENERALLY
REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS OR LESS. SEAS WILL
CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 2-3 FEET NEARSHORE TO 3-4 FEET OFFSHORE WITH
DOMINANT PERIODS BETWEEN 8 AND 10 SEC. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF STREAM OVERNIGHT AND IN THE MORNING HOURS
BUT MOST AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE WEST OF THE
INTRACOASTAL.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

MOSES/LASCODY