Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 280115

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
915 PM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...Ridge axis of high pressure will continue to work
southward into central Florida tonight, with easterly surface
winds becoming light and more variable after midnight. Patches of
cirrus are already shifting offshore this evening, with skies
clear to mostly clear overnight. This will allow for favorable
radiational cooling conditions, with temperatures falling into the
mid to upper 50s over much of the region and potential for patchy
fog development toward daybreak. Isolated showers have continued
to develop over the coastal waters into this evening in the low
level onshore flow, and may see a stray shower or two move onto
the Treasure Coast through midnight. However, model guidance
indicates the low level easterly flow weakens considerably into
late tonight, so potential for any additional coastal showers
looks too low to mention in the forecast.


.AVIATION...Mainly VFR. Patchy fog, producing mostly MVFR
visibilities will be possible late tonight through early morning


Tonight-Tue...(Previous Discussion) High pressure ridge extending
from offshore the Carolina coast to north FL will settle into the
waters while weakening. This will cause east flow to diminish
below 10 knots tonight, then gradient winds will be light Tue with
a 5-10 knot sea breeze. The Wave Watch model has been running a
little high on seas, so have trimmed them back closer to what
available buoy data shows. Seas far offshore may still be near 6
feet, but with winds of only 10 knots, will not include any
cautionary statements.




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