Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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006
FXUS65 KREV 120936
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
236 AM PDT Sat Aug 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS...

Drier conditions are expected into early next week. A weak front
will move into the region on Monday which will provide a few degrees
of cooling and a chance for some light showers and an isolated
thunderstorm across far northern Nevada. A warming trend will then
be in place for the remainder of the week as high pressure
builds.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

Generally benign conditions with temperatures expected to be slightly
above seasonal averages through Sunday. By Monday a mostly dry
wave will move through extreme northern California and Nevada.
There will be chances of an isolated thunderstorm for the Surprise
Valley in Modoc County and very northern Washoe County. Otherwise,
winds will follow typical afternoon patterns with gusts generally
20-25 mph today. Wind gusts increase up to 30 mph Sunday and
Monday afternoons as the boundary tightens the pressure gradient
across the region slightly. Fire weather concerns for Sunday and
Monday are marginal at this time, but may need reevaluation over
the next day or so.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Friday...

No significant changes were made to the inherited extended forecast
this cycle. The trough the passes through Monday/Monday night is
exiting to the east on Tuesday/Wednesday with northwest flow aloft
and dry conditions. Slightly below normal temperatures Tuesday start
to warm again by Wednesday to near normal...then above normal the
rest of the week.

Numerical model guidance depicts the flow aloft becoming a bit more
zonal as weak ridging tries to develop by early Thursday. The weak
flow and increasing low level instability associated with daytime
heating could lead to increased cumulus coverage both Thursday and
Friday...bot no deep convection is expected either day as of this
writing.

Beyond the forecast period weak westerly flow continues into the
weekend with above normal temperatures. With this continued weak
flow and increased daytime heating...it is not outside the realm of
possibility that a few storms may develop by Saturday from southern
Mono County east into Mineral County.

&&

.AVIATION...

Expect VFR conditions at area terminals through the weekend into
next week. Winds will follow typical patterns with afternoon gusts
20-25kts. Strongest flow will occur Sunday and Monday afternoons
as a dry front moves through the region; gusts up to 30kts along
the leading edge Monday afternoon.

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno



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