Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 110541
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1141 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR THE 06Z TAFS. THE THOU/TIAH/KHGX
VAD WIND PROFILERS ARE ALL SHOWING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASING
TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS AROUND 2000 FT AGL. HOUSTON IAH RAP FORECAST
WIND PROFILES SHOW THESE WINDS MAINTAINING THIS INTENSITY JUST OFF
THE SURFACE THROUGH 12Z AND THIS RAISES CONCERNS FOR AT LEAST
BRIEF LLWS CONDITIONS FOR THE HOUSTON TERMINALS. AMENDMENTS TO
INCLUDE LLWS MAY BE NEEDED IF SURFACE WINDS BECOME LIGHTER THAN
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

OTHERWISE LIGHT SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY... WITH
DAYTIME MIXING ALLOWING STRONGER GUSTS AROUND 20 TO POSSIBLY 25
KNOTS TO REACH THE SURFACE. AFTER 12/06Z... PATCHY RADIATION FOG
DEVELOPMENT MAY IMPACT THE TERMINALS WITH AT LEAST TEMPORARY
VISIBILITY/CEILING RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE.

HUFFMAN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 706 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES AND A COOL NIGHT AHEAD. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
MOST OF THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN
AREAS. TWEAKED THE MIN TEMPS DOWN A DEGREE IN THE EAST WHERE THE
AIR IS A LITTLE DRIER AND LIGHTER WINDS AND COOLER START TO THE
EVENING...VERY MINOR CHANGES.

MAY NEED TO DO AN UPDATE FOR SOME PATCHY SHALLOW FOG IN THE SW
AREAS AROUND EDNA/WHARTON/PALACIOS/WEST COLUMBIA. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOWING SOME VERY SHALLOW SATURATION OCCURRING BUT ATTM THINKING
JUST ENOUGH WIND MAY KEEP ANY FOG AT BAY.

45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      46  76  50  73  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              47  76  53  76  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            53  70  57  71  56 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...45
AVIATION/MARINE...14


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