National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 180434
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1134 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...
OVERALL TRENDS IN THE TAF LOOK ON TRACK FOR 06Z. EXPECT VFR THE
REST OF THE NIGHT WITH AGAIN A FEW BRIEF POCKETS OF MVFR CIGS DUE
TO PATCHY FOG/STRATOCU. MAY SEE AN MORNING SHOWER ALONG THE COAST
BUT WILL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW. MAIN CONCERN TOMORROW WILL BE
CONVECTION. 00Z MODELS SEEM TO COME MORE IN LINE WITH CONVECTIVE
CHANCES FOR THE AFTERNOON. DECIDED TO BRING VCTS DOWN TO KSGR/KHOU
FOR THE AFTERNOON. THINK STALLING FRONT MAY PUSH DOWN DUE TO
OUTFLOW FROM CONVECTION THAT FORMS ALONG IT. LOOK FOR NEW
DEVELOPMENT IN THE AFTERNOON SHOULD ANY FORM IN THE MORNING.
NAM/GFS GUIDANCE ARE NOT IN BAD AGREEMENT ESPECIALLY FOR
CONVECTION. MESOSCALE MODELS SEEM TO BE CARRYING THE SAME THEME OF
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. DETAILS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN SO WILL NOT
TEMPO ANY TIME FRAME FOR TSRA.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 929 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...

TSTM ACTIVITY WELL W/NW OF THE AREA THIS EVE. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHC THAT NW AREAS COULD SEE A FEW SHWRS/TSTMS LATE TONIGHT AS A
SHRT WV APPROACHES. THEREFORE WILL LEAVE THE 20 POP FOR THE NW
1/3 OF THE AREA AFT MIDNIGHT. WILL SEE HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE FROM
WEST TO EAST LATER TONIGHT. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      76  95  75  95  75 /  20  30  20  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              75  95  75  94  75 /  10  20  20  20  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  90  80  90  80 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...39/33
AVIATION/MARINE...39

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