Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 211736
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1136 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 242 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

There are no major changes in this forecast update. The next storm
system will move across the southern Plains Region and northern
Gulf Coast Region today through Sunday. Southerly winds today and
a few breaks in the clouds will boost temperatures into the middle
60s for most locations. All guidance shows scattered rain
beginning to develop over the area by this evening and become
widespread tonight especially across southern Missouri and the
eastern Ozarks. There may be just enough instability for an
isolated thunderstorm or two but no severe weather is expected
with the better dynamics and instability staying south of the
Missouri Ozarks region. Average storm total rainfall from tonight
into Sunday will be up to half an inch north of I-44 and up to one
inch across south central Missouri.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 242 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Cooler and breezy conditions with rain likely over the eastern
half of the area tomorrow. The rain will end from east to west
during the afternoon. Slight upper level ridging will keep the
weather quiet and mild for Monday and Tuesday. A strong fast upper
level system will move across the northern Plains and Midwest on
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Winds will increase and be gusty
Tuesday into Wednesday...up to 35 mph wind gusts possible. A cold
front will move through on Wednesday with not much moisture to
work with. A deep trough will develop across the eastern half of
the country by the end of next week with seasonably colder
temperatures and dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 525 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Lowering vfr ceilings will occur over
the next few hours as low pressure moves into the TX Panhandle
region. The sfc low will then track into AR with increasing
chances for rain with mvfr/ifr ceilings and visibility with rain.
The lowering ceilings and heavier rain will occur after 06z as
winds back to the east and eventually to the north as the
deepening sfc low tracks off to the east.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Wise



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