Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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992
FXUS63 KSGF 131934
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
134 PM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

...Dry Weather to Continue this Week...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 122 PM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

A dry cold front that swept into the region today will exit to the
southeast this evening. Gusty northwesterly winds will continue
into this evening before subsiding.

The gusty winds along with the dry conditions will maintain an
elevated locally significant fire weather risk into early this
evening.

A seasonably chilly airmass will settle over the Ozarks region
Thursday as surface high pressure builds into the area. Expect an
increase cloud cover as a shortwave trough swings southeastward
across the region.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 122 PM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

Little change in the overall pattern is expected the remainder of
the week as our region remains under the influence of a
northwesterly flow. This will maintain the dry conditions while
temperatures begin a warming trend to end the week. Fire weather
conditions will again become more critical Saturday as
temperatures warm and winds increase ahead of the next system.

An evolution in the pattern is expected this weekend as an upper
trough approaches from the west. At least least a temporary return
to a southwesterly flow and a shortwave ejecting northeastward
into the Lower Mississippi River Valley will bring a chance of
rain later in the weekend. Amounts look to be light and some
to mixed precipitation cannot be ruled out. However winter weather
issues are anticipated at this time.

The primary upper level trough then transitions across the area
early next week possibly bringing additional chances for light
precipitation. The northwesterly flow aloft will resume in the
wake of this system the remainder of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1124 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

Pilots can expect VFR conditions through tonight as a dry cold
front pushes across the region. Surface winds will increase shift
to the west and northwest this afternoon with frequent gusts over
20 kts. Winds will gradually subside tonight. Cloud cover will
increase late tonight into Thursday with ceilings possibly
approaching MVFR category Thursday.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster



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