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000
FXUS63 KSGF 062249
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
449 PM CST Thu Mar 6 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)

It was a gorgeous day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Under sunny skies, temperatures warmed into the
50s. With a surface ridge axis overhead, winds were light and
variable today. Much welcomed after the winter we`re currently
experiencing.

Even better conditions are forecasted on Friday. Temperatures are
expected to warm into the 60s in most locations. South central
Missouri may stay confined to the upper 50s. Southwesterly breezes
ranging from 5 to 10 mph will bring warm air advection underneath
a mix of sun and clouds.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)

A cold front will approach the Ozarks from the northwest Friday
night. This feature will trigger a few sprinkles or light rain
showers. Some snow may be mixed in with this rainfall.

This light rain - light snow mix could continue into Saturday. As
of now we are not forecasting any snow accumulations since
temperatures will be near or slightly above freezing. Most of the
moisture associated with this passing front will also be of
Pacific origin. Therefore precip amounts will be quite limited for
all areas.

By Saturday night all precipitation will have shifted east of the
region, leaving behind cooler temperatures. Saturday night`s lows
will fall into the 20s. A warming trend will follow, with
temperatures bouncing back into the 50s on Sunday. Sunday should
be a nice day for outdoor activities.

We have some fantastic weather in the offing for early next week.
A zonal belt of westerlies will assume a position north of the
region, allowing southerly winds and warm advection. An increasing
March sun angle will allow for mid 60 degree temperatures both days.

Unfortunately another shot of Canadian air will approach the area
sometime Tuesday night or Wednesday. This will cause temperatures
to plummet back into the 20s or 30s Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

There doesn`t appear to be a whole lot of moisture available with
Tuesday night`s cold front either, so chances for rain or snow
remain low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 446 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

Upper level ridging was pushing into the area from the west in the
wake of a closed low which was now located along the Gulf coast.
Generally clear skies are expected with some high level clouds
moving into the region late in the period. Winds will begin as
light and variable but should become southeast to south overnight
into the remainder of the day Friday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg