Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 020514
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1214 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Sun May 1 2016

We have increased PoPs into the 30-40% range for the late evening
and overnight period generally along and just north of the I-44
corridor. A mid-level frontogenetic zone (centered around 750 mb)
will be the primary focus for the shower activity. Amounts will be
very light...generally less than 0.05".

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun May 1 2016

An upper level ridge will build east across the plains during the
middle of the week then over the region late in the week into
early next weekend. This will allow a warming trend to occur as
highs return to the lower 70s on Wednesday, with temperatures
warming into the upper 70s to the lower 80s by Saturday.

An upper level low will then track east across the southwestern
U.S then into the plains late this weekend into early next week.
As this system approaches from the west, thunderstorm chances
will return to the area late next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Mon May 2 2016

A weak upper level storm system will produce a few light rain
showers across southern Missouri overnight. Ceilings will also
lower into the MVFR category by late tonight. There is still a
signal for a brief period of IFR ceilings just after
sunrise...especially around Springfield.

Ceilings will then improve from mid-morning onward on Monday.
However, MVFR will remain likely through at least early afternoon.

Winds will remain out of the northwest generally below 10 knots.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Schaumann



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