Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 242002

302 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)

Cooler temperatures and less humid weather was ongoing across the
Ozarks today. Easterly winds behind a cool front left us with
comfortable weather.

This drier airmass will have an influence on low temps tonight
with readings falling into the upper 50s in the eastern Ozarks.
Upper 60 degree lows are expected out toward joplin and Pittsburg.

Warmer weather will begin tomorrow with highs in the low to middle
90s. A return of southerly winds combined with plenty of sunshine
will help the cause. These two factors will also come into play on
Saturday, with highs in the middle 90s. Heat indices will warm
into the 100s Saturday.

Little to no precipitation chances are in the forecast through

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)

By Sunday a Canadian frontal system will approach and sweep
southward through southern Missouri. This feature will be forced
unusually south by an upper low that amplifies across the upper
midwest. This will allow for fantastic outdoor weather through
much of next work week.

There will be a 20-30 percent chances for showers and
thunderstorms as this system pushes through.

Models do not suggest much precipitation, however, I`m leary to
think that we all remain dry through this frontal passage. The
airmass should have ample moisture and instability to support
convection near the front on Sunday. Many locations could remain
dry, however, we do think some thunder will be possible.

Starting Monday, highs will warm into the lower 80s on an
afternoon basis through Thursday. Overnight lows will fall into
the 50s and 60s.

During next work week, there remains no identifiable signal for
good rain chances. There could be a couple of shortwaves that
migrate through the westerlies, but at this point, figuring out
when that happens is tough to pinpoint.

Hope everyone enjoys the cool weather next week. Have a good one !


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are expected for the
taf period. A sfc ridge of high pressure that extends from the
Great Lakes to the Ozarks region will shift to the east as a front
moves into the central Plains. S-Sw winds will increase late in
the taf period, particularly at KJLN where some moderate gusts may
develop after 15z.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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