Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 260734
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
234 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 0234 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

Currently in between a strong amplitude upper level ridge centered
over the central and southern Rockies, and a strong area of low
pressure north of the Great Lakes, within strong north-northwest
flow. We remain under control of high pressure in the lower levels
which is keeping a cooler and drier air mass over the region. We
have already broken a record low for the morning at Vichy and have
the potential to still do so at West Plains. (See climate section
below). Clouds are scarce this morning, but there are a few upper
level clouds streaming northwest to southeast via the stronger
upper level northwest flow.

The forecast will mainly focus on the temperatures in the near and
short term, with low end chances of rain late in the week into
early weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0234 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

Looks very similar today as we had yesterday, with upper level
northwest flow remaining in place and low level high pressure.
This will keep the cooler and drier air mass in place over the
region through the short term. Highs today will be similar to
yesterdays readings, which will be below normals for this time of
year.



.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 0234 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

Shortwave energy will begin to break down the upper level ridge a
bit on Thursday and this energy wil begin to drift east-southeast
into the forecast area Thursday night into Friday. Moisture will
take some time to increase across the area and am not expecting
much in the way of precipitation until we get into late Friday
into Friday night and a cold front and main upper wave begin to
push into the area. Even then, precipitation looks to be scattered
throughout the area through Saturday.

The main shortwave should push off to the southeast by Sunday with
upper level ridging building in from the southwest to round out
the weekend into early next week. Precipitation chances during
this time frame look to be very low. Temperatures should trend
more towards normal as well.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Clear skies will prevail as high pressure and a dry airmass
remain over the region. Winds will remain light and variable.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 0313 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

Record lows are in jeopardy at Rolla/Vichy and West Plains
tonight. Here are the records and forecast low temperatures.

                 Record Low       Forecast Tonight

West Plains      50 (1958)              52
Rolla/Vichy      55 (2010)              51

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Burchfield
CLIMATE...Lindenberg


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