


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
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139 FXUS63 KSGF 261050 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 550 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Daily heat index values in the middle to upper 90s into early next week. - Daily shower and thunderstorm activity into next week, mainly isolated to scattered in nature. No all day washouts expected. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 1259 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Today: The upper high that has been influencing the area has shifted slightly south. This will allow some shortwave energy to interact with the region, resulting in a 20-40% chance for isolated to scattered showers and storms mainly northwest of I-44 this afternoon and evening. Look for highs in the around 90 today with heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. Tonight and Friday: The forecast for this period grows increasingly uncertain. HRRR shows potential for an MCS to move through the area tonight into Friday morning while the 3km NAM takes that west of the CWA, but confidence in any of these solutions is low at this time. Friday forecast is more in question due to unknowns with morning convective potential. This could cause cloudier skies, cooler temperatures (highs in the 80s) and reduced chances for convection in the afternoon/evening. Current forecast features 30-50% chances for showers and storms Friday afternoon and evening, but stay tuned for updates. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1259 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 Shortwave energy will continue to bring daily rain chances into the middle of next week, with the greatest chances in the afternoons/evenings. Look for 40-50% chances on Saturday, 50-60% Sunday and Monday, and 20-40% Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures through this period will be susceptible to changes due to convective trends, but generally looking at highs in the mid 80s to low 90s and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Look for daily heat index values in the mid to upper 90s through at least Monday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 548 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025 VFR conditions and light winds are forecast persist through this TAF period. However, there is a roughly 30% chance for showers and storms near KJLN late tonight. Confidence in convection chances is low, so left any mention out of the TAFs for now. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Titus LONG TERM...Titus AVIATION...Titus