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000
FXUS63 KSGF 200718
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
218 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 217 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Surface high pressure was centered across the CWA early this
morning with a light and variable wind and a mostly clear sky.
There were some pockets of mid level clouds. Temperatures and
dewpoints at the surface were generally in the low to mid 60s.

The main focus with this forecast will be with the timing and
duration of convection later in the week into the weekend.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 217 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

For today, temperatures will warm back into the upper 80s to low
90s across the area with more sunshine than yesterday. Aloft, we
will remain in northwest flow. For tonight, lows will be in the
low to mid 60s under a mostly clear sky with high pressure
remaining over the area.


.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 217 AM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

The warming trend will linger into Wednesday as highs reach the
upper 80s to low 90s and heat index values warm into the low to
mid 90s. Not expecting much in the way of rain chances until
Thursday. A tropical system will be pushing inland from the Gulf
and may begin to bring some scattered convection to parts of south
central MO as early as Thursday. This system will move closer to
the area on Friday while a frontal boundary moves in from the
north and stalls out across the area. Showers and thunderstorms
will become more likely and because of the tropical nature of the
air mass spreading northward into the area (PW values over 2.25
in. across south central MO) they will be efficient rain
producers. The frontal boundary should push south of the area on
Saturday with precipitation likely coming to an end.

Another upper level system moves into early next week and will
bring the next chance at convection to the region.



&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1133 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR with a weak sfc high center pressure
over or nearby the area.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...DSA