Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 242253
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
553 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2014

...00z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

An upper level ridge is located over the eastern Rockies at this
time while surface high pressure resides over the Arklatex region.
Mainly sct-bkn high level clouds were transiting the area within
the northwest flow aloft.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

The surface high pressure will bring fair weather and unseasonably
warm temperatures to the region through this weekend. The
combination of clearing skies and light winds will aid in creating
some patchy fog during the overnight hours. The fog should burn
off rather quickly after sunrise on Saturday.

The upper level ridge over the Rockies will gradually move eastward
and begin to flatten on Sunday as the next storm system makes its
way into the Pacific Northwest.

The 850 mb temperatures are expected to warm to close to 20C
across the western CWA by Sunday afternoon. This will push high
temperatures into the low to mid 80s under partly cloudy skies.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Friday)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

High temperatures on Monday will be slightly cooler as a cold
front and associated upper level system approach from the northwest.
Rain chances will increase Monday night into Tuesday as the front
moves through the area. Rain should be ending in south central
Missouri by Wednesday morning. There is also a slight chance of
rain on Thursday as an upper level system moves through.

The passage of the cold front will return temperatures to more
seasonal levels with highs in the mid 60s and lows in the mid 40s.
A secondary surge of Canadian air is expected by late in the
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 546 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

The only aviation concern for tonight will be the potential for
patchy fog developing late tonight and early tomorrow morning.
Skies will generally be mostly clear. Winds will be light
southwest becoming light and variable late tonight. Will have all
TAF sites with MVFR visibilities after 08z tonight with a mention
of TEMPO groups for possible IFR visibilities between 10z to 13z.
Any fog will dissipate after 14z tomorrow morning with mostly
clear skies and light southwest winds.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 224 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

Record high temperatures this weekend:

           10/25      10/26
            Sat.       Sun.

SGF       85/1939    86/1891
JLN       87/1944    87/1950
UNO       83/1952    84/1950
VIH       83/1902    84/1952

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Griffin






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