Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 021728
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1128 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

...18z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

It was a quiet and chilly night over extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures ranged from the
upper 20s in the eastern Ozarks, to the lower 40s in southeast
Kansas.

A nice day is in the offing as readings warm into the 50s.  A
mix of sun and clouds are expected, while southeast breezes
commence.

For tonight, look for precipitation to break out over Oklahoma
and Texas ahead of a storm system center over the desert
southwest. It`s possible some of this light rain could reach
southern Missouri, however, most locations should remain dry
through tonight due to a dry airmass in place.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)

The Ozarks airmass will continue to moisten through the weekend
bringing increased rain chances to the area. Perhaps the greatest
chances for rain will occur Saturday afternoon or Saturday
evening.

Due to the upper low becoming closed off, rain should end from
west to east Sunday morning. This should give way to dry weather
Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. However, lift will increase on
Monday and Tuesday, bringing another round of widespread rainfall
to southern Missouri. By late Tuesday this 2nd round of rain will
exit to the east.

Another disturbance will approach from the west bringing a third
round of precipitation. Temperatures in the middle of next week
are questionable with respect to preciptiation types. Models have
been inconsistent with precip type for the middle of next week, so
this is something to monitor with new model runs.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Generally, VFR conditions expected through this TAF cycle. Winds
will remain rather light and variable with somewhat of a southerly
tendency. There will be a shot at some developing shower
activity beginning in the morning, especially over BBG. Covered
that with VCs for now as initial activity looks to be spotty in
nature.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Frye



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