Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 230528

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1228 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Clouds and light rain/drizzle are hanging on over the eastern cwfa
underneath an upper low that is closing off over the region. Am
always a little worried about how fast we will clear out in these
situations, but went pretty close to guidance which indicates a
gradual clearing from the west to east tonight.

An active upper level pattern will continue with the approach of
another shortwave in the nw flow on Monday. Weak sfc high pressure
tonight will give way to a sfc trough/frontal passage Monday with
increasing and veering winds to the west and northwest. Looks dry
Monday despite the passage of the trough.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Western CONUS/east Pacific upper level ridging with a downstream
trough will keep the region in nw flow aloft. Gusty nw winds and
dry weather will continue Tue with below normal temperatures.
Temperatures will moderate after a chilly start Wed morning as
gusty winds back to the west ahead of another approaching sfc

There is decent agreement that a clipper-like system will move
southeast into the upper Midwest with a trailing sfc cold moving
through Friday. Models are trending toward a drier forecast
with the fropa, but will still maintain pops over the eastern cwfa
for now and watch trends. We could see temperatures near freezing
late in the week behind the front.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

Pilots can expect a gradual improvement in flight conditions
tonight as an upper level storm system tracks to the east. Expect
a clearing sky from the west as the night progresses. A dry cold
front will sweep across the region Monday bringing increasing
northwesterly surface winds during the afternoon.




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