Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 100543
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1143 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Ample sunshine was competing with 850mb cold air advection and
leading to afternoon temps in the low 40s across the west to the
upper 30s in the east, closer to the upper level low. Gusty
northwest winds were making it feel cold and blustery. Winds will
slowly die down tonight and become southwesterly again by morning.
Temps may level off or slowly rise overnight depending on the
strength of the southwest winds. Wind protected, sheltered, and
valley areas will see the coldest readings tonight.

Sunday will be warmer as 850mb temps increase over today`s
readings. Generally looking at highs in the low to mid 50s. Winds
will continue to be gusty as dry air mixes down during the day.
An elevated fire weather risk will occur Sunday. A blend of model
guidance was used for temps and winds through Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Still not seeing a signal for precipitation until perhaps late
next weekend however thats a long ways out. Southwest winds become
stronger Monday out ahead of a approaching cold front an upper
level wave. Could see wind gusts up to 35mph with the passage of
the front, which looks to occur during the afternoon hours across
the area. High temps will likely hit 60 in several locations
especially south of I-44. With the gusty winds, warm temps and dry
air, there will be more of a concern for fire weather. Widespread
elevated to locally significant fire weather potential looks to
occur Monday. Will need to monitor dewpoint and wind speed trends
as these will be critical. With the ongoing severe drought, this
is a concern.

Northwest flow continues the rest of the week with temps
fluctuating up and down however for the most part it will remain
near average, except for the precipitation.... A blend of model
guidance was used for temps and winds through next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR. A weak sfc ridge will move through with
light winds backing to the southwest early in the taf period.
Another sfc trough will pass late in the taf period with
moderately gusty sfc winds. Winds aloft continue to support of the
mention of low level wind shear 10z-14z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...DSA


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