Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 260513

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1113 PM CST WED NOV 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)

Moisture increases from the Gulf continued over extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks today. This pattern will set the
stage for another widespread rainfall event as we progress into
Thanksgiving and Thanksgiving weekend.

A slow moving storm system will approach from the west, forcing a
heavy band of rainfall as a frontal system slowly shifts across
the area.

Rain starts to get heavy over southeast Kansas late Thursday
afternoon and evening, and will shift east across the Ozarks into

The frontal system is expected to stall somewhere across
Arkansas, but will be close enough for post frontal showers
through the weekend.

A final speed max will pass over southern Missouri on Sunday
morning, shifting all precipitation east of the area by Sunday

We are officially forecasting widespread rainfall amounts ranging
from 2 - 5 inches.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)

A Pacific airmass will spread across the region next work week,
offering cool and dry conditions Monday through Wednesday.

Look for highs in the 40s and lows in the middle to upper 20s.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1109 PM CST WED NOV 25 2015

Stratus a bit slower to develop than originally thought earlier
this evening. Will be trending with lower ceilings during the
overnight hours, down into the MVFR category. Wind shear will be
problematic all night and even for much of the day on Thursday.
Front should start inching towards the CWA by 00z with rainfall
beginning at JLN by mid to late afternoon and eventually spreading
eastward to SGF/BBG during the late afternoon/early evening
timeframe. Expecting IFR conditions once the rain begins and
continuing through the remainder of the period.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday evening through late Friday
     night for MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday evening through late Friday
     night for KSZ073-097-101.



LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.