Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 110932
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
332 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Mild weather was ongoing this morning over extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. These conditions will abruptly
change today as a powerful Arctic airmass surges across the
region.

Rain followed by small amounts of freezing rain, freezing drizzle,
snow, and sleet are expected as temperatures fall well below
freezing. Any moisture on road surfaces could flash freeze,
creating dangerous travel across the Ozarks.

A Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for the entire area.
While freezing rain or drizzle amounts are expected to range from
a trace to just a few hundredths of an inch, a thin sheet of ice
on roads will create impact.

The precipitation will have exited east of the region by midnight
tonight, therefore the Advisory is set to expire at midnight.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)

Much colder weather is on tap for the weekend as high temperatures
struggle to warm out of the 20s and 30s Friday through Sunday. Dry
weather is expected with overnight lows falling into the single
digits and teens. The coldest night will be Friday night with wind
chill values falling from zero to -5 degrees.

Another cold front approaches on Monday, which could bring a quick
round of light snow. Models have been very inconsistent with this
signal. This front will definitely bring another blast of cold air
to the Ozarks.

A pattern change finally occurs during the middle of next week as
westerlies become more zonal and height rises occur. This should
bring temperatures back into the 40s and maybe the 50s toward
week`s end.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1125 PM CST Wed Jan 10 2018

Southerly surface winds will remain gusty through the morning as
a cold front approaches the region. Winds will shift out of the
northwest Thursday afternoon as the front passes. Ceilings will be
MVFR through much of the overnight and continue through the day
Thursday. Showers will transition from rain to freezing rain or
snow as the front passes. Ceilings will begin to improve to VFR
during the evening Thursday well behind the front.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to midnight CST
     tonight for MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM this morning to midnight CST
     tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Hatch



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