Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241753

1153 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 245 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

An upper level trough is pushing off to the east towards the east
coast early this morning. Behind the trough mostly sunny and
warmer conditions will occur today. Highs will range from the
lower 50s across the eastern Ozarks to upper 50s across portions
of extreme southeastern Kansas this afternoon. Mild conditions
will occur into the overnight hours as lows drop into the middle
to upper 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 245 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

An upper level shortwave trough will dive south across the Plains
today and tonight, then into the region on Sunday. The better
moisture and energy with this system will remain to the east of
the area, but there should be enough lift across the eastern
Ozarks to squeeze out some sprinkles or light rain on Sunday as
the trough moves through the area. This will mainly be along and
east of Highway 65 and rain will be on the light side.

Temperatures will be a little cooler on Sunday with an increase in
cloud cover and the light rain moving through the area. Also,
a cooler air mass will start to spread south later in the day as
the trough passes through the region. Lows Sunday night will drop
into the middle to upper 20s.

An upper level ridge will build east and over the region by
Wednesday. This will result in mild and above normal temperatures
through the week. The warmest day appears to be on Wednesday when
some areas may warm into the 60s.

An upper level disturbance will then move through the region
Thursday. The better rain chances with this system appear to
remain to the north and east of the area and have left any mention
of rain out of the forecast at this time. Slightly cooler
temperatures will spread into the region Thursday into Friday
behind the upper level trough.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1145 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

VFR conditions will continue through this evening with increasing
high clouds. Low level wind shear conditions will develop later
this evening as a low level jet stream strengthens ahead of an
approaching upper level disturbance. A band of rain showers is
then expected to push through the region late tonight which may
lead to temporary MVFR conditions. Winds will then become brisk
and gusty out of the northwest by late Sunday morning behind a
passing cold front. A deck of stratocumulus clouds will also
develop behind the front with ceilings right around the MVFR/VFR




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