Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 030754

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
254 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0253 AM CDT SAT OCT 03 2015

Little change in the short term is expected with slightly below
normal temperatures once again to be witnessed across the region
as cyclonic flow around the SE US upper low maintains the
northeasterly low level flow.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 0253 AM CDT SAT OCT 03 2015

Weak ridge to remain in place across the forecast area into
midweek as SE US low advects into the Atlantic while west coast
upper low digs. By midweek the 00z GFS is suggesting a scenario
closer to the previous runs of the ECM in which the west coast
system maintains its closed low as opposed to filling and being
kicked into the Central Plains. There is also a new player...a
short wave currently rotating through the NE Pacific low that is
progged to reach the Central Plains Thursday as the northern
stream strengthens. Interestingly while the appearance suggests
the potential for a phased stream system, the remnants of the
western upper low migrates south rather than advecting east as a
progressive system. In any case, the warming trend initiates
Monday and low POPs have been maintained for Thursday into Friday
...though perhaps for different reasons.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT FRI OCT 02 2015

VFR conditions are expected to persist through Saturday evening.
There will be an increase in clouds Saturday evening, but any
ceilings are expected to remain in the VFR category. Winds will
remain out of the north to northeast with late morning and
afternoon gusts up to 17 knots.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
AVIATION...Schaumann is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.