Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 181926
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
126 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

Patchy to areas of fog will persist through this morning
particularly on the higher terrain due to stratus build down.
Otherwise expect clouds to persist today as an upper low pressure
system lifts northeast from the Texas Big Bend region. A deepening
southerly flow ahead of this system will advect deep moisture into
the region. Cloud cover will keep temperatures on the cool side
today.

A few sprinkles or light showers could develop across far southern
this afternoon into this evening but expect a greater coverage of
scattered showers later tonight as a shortwave trough swings
around the upper low toward the Ozarks.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

Scattered showers will continue if not increase across south
central Missouri Thursday as the shortwave lifts north. The best
chance of rain Thursday will generally be east of Highway 65.
Mid level cooling and steeper lapse rates will be supportive of
some modest destabilization and the potential for a few
thunderstorms.

Milder temperatures will occur Friday into Saturday as the upper
low fills and exits to the northeast and 500 MB heights rise and a
deep southerly flow persists. Highs will climb to near 60 Thursday
and into the 60s on Saturday.

A series of strong storm systems moving onto the west coast will
carve out an upper trough that will move into the central U.S.
later this weekend. Model solutions continue to depict the
formation of a closed upper low tracking across the lower
Mississippi River Valley on Sunday. The result will be at least
scattered if not widespread showers on Sunday before ending from
the west on Monday.

Relatively mild weather will persist into early next week but
models suggest an airmass more typical of late January could
arrive by the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 119 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Visibility and ceilings have come up since
this morning with generally vfr conditions. Branson continues to
have a IFR ceiling which should improve slowly over the next few
hours. Guidance, in general, is in pretty good agreement
in redeveloping low clouds and fog tonight after 06z with a sfc
warm front just south of the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Foster
SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...DSA



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